SOUTH
(3) Stanford (28-7, 13-5 Pac-10) vs. (2) Texas (30-6, 13-3 Big XII)
This is going to be a lot of the Lopez twins for Stanford. I'm expecting big things from Brook and a solid game from Robin. In a matchup of diverse styles of play, I think the slow-moving tempo of the Cardinal will win out. DJ Augustin and AJ Abrams form the best guard combo in the NCAA, but they won't be enough here.
Prediction: Stanford 73-67
(5) Michigan State (27-8, 12-6 Big Ten) vs. (1) Memphis (35-1, 16-0 C-USA)
I'm straying away from my original bracket here, as I think Memphis responds to all the criticism with a close win here. My feeling is Robert Dozier will have a HUGE game for the Tigers, and they'll make enough shots down the stretch to pull it out. For the Spartans, keep an eye out for freshman point guard Kalin Lucas, who is one of the more underrated diaper dandies in college basketball.
Prediction: Memphis 78-75
Congrats to my Tar Heels, one win away from a Final Four!
Friday, March 28, 2008
Thursday, March 27, 2008
Midwest Bracket
MIDWEST
(10) Davidson (28-6, 20-0 Southern) vs. (3) Wisconsin (31-4, 16-2 Big Ten)
Davidson
Key Player: Stephen Curry-Who else would it be for the Wildcats. Curry will need to carry the scoring the way he's done in the first two NCAA Tournament games. He is as good of a shooter as anyone in the country. If anyone can beat Wisconsin's tough defense and find some good shots, it's this guy. They will need every bit of his best game in order to upset the Badgers.
Under The Radar: Thomas Sander-Sander, who averaged over 13 ppg as a junior last season, has watched his game slip a bit this season, but is still a good big man to grab rebounds. He has not contributed consistently offensively all season, and that won't be where he does the work. They will need 10+ rebounds from Sander, and some good offensive ones that lead to second chance buckets.
How Davidson can beat the Badgers: Stephen Curry, Stephen Curry, Jason Richards, and Stephen Curry. It's going to be mostly Curry doing the scoring for Davidson, but Richards will have to be the guy to get him the ball. One of the best point guards left, he'll have to do some scoring as well. For Davidson, it's all about the guard play.
Wisconsin
Key Player: Jason Bohannon-I don't think Trevon Hughes will have a big game here like he did against Kansas State. It will take a team effort, and sharpshooter Bohannon will lead the way. He came off the bench and played well in the first round, finishing in double digits. I expect the same here, and he'll hit at least a trio of threes.
Under The Radar: Joe Krabbenhoft-Krabbenhoft plays like a big man despite being a 6'7" guard. He'll play the same role he did in the win over Michigan State in the Big Ten Tournament, in which he contributed a double-double. He'll be right under the basket, beating out Andrew Lovedale for rebounds. Not only that, his offensive rebounds will turn into instant offense.
How Wisconsin can beat the Wildcats: Setting their pace will be enough. If Wisconsin can slow the game down the way they have all season, Curry won't be able to put up gaudy numbers and win the game by himself. I think Wisconsin can force their crawling tempo on almost anyone, and they will here.
Prediction: Stephen Curry will still have a good game, but there won't be enough possessions for Davidson to pull off the upset. Wisconsin's Michael Flowers will do a solid job on Curry and keep him around his season average of 25, instead of his NCAA Tournament average of 35. Wisconsin 71-62
(12)Villanova (22-12, 9-9 Big East) vs. (1) Kansas (33-3, 13-3 Big XII)
Villanova
Key Player: Dante Cunningham-I think the Jayhawks will be so focused on Scottie Reynolds that he'll be shut down, so Cunningham is next in line. The tall, lanky forward put up 14 points in the second round game against Siena, and they will need his inside production if the shots aren't falling as hot as they were the first weekend. He's an efficient shooter, 55% on the season.
Under The Radar: Shane Clark-Clark was huge in the Wildcats win in the Big East opening round game against Syracuse, but has struggled to find scoring opportunities ever since. I think he's someone who can come out and put some points up to keep 'Nova in the game against Kansas. He is a bit undersized, but still manages to get to the basket.
How Villanova can beat the Jayhawks: I think they will need to play over their heads in order to beat one of the best teams in the nation. Kansas isn't going to give Villanova anything, so it's Scottie Reynolds and Dante Cunningham will have to carry them.
Kansas
Key Player: Darnell Jackson-Jackson hasn't been the star in the NCAA Tournament so far, but his big build should help him against a young Villanova team who isn't as mature as him. He should get inside and use his body to get to the rim. I think he'll turn out to be the go to guy for the Jayhawks in this matchup.
Under The Radar: Sasha Kaun-Kaun's an experienced veteran who brings size and strength off the bench. He hasn't seen much action in this years NCAA Tournament, but his size should get him some minutes against Villanova. He has offensive ability, and will control the paint on defense. Getting Kaun into the game could be crucial.
How Kansas can beat the Wildcats: Getting into the paint and bullying Villanova's big men. Villanova doesn't have the big men to play with Kansas's athletic forwards, and the Jayhawks would be smart to exploit that weakness. Jackson, Kaun, and Darrell Arthur can get inside and bring in offensive rebounds as well as scoring points. Villanova will have a tough time rebounding on both ends of the floor.
Prediction: Kansas is just too athletic for a young Villanova team who's best years may be ahead of them, as long as Scottie Reynolds stays in college. The size and strength of Kansas is unmatched by most teams, and they'll be a tough out the rest of the way. Kansas 85-70
Expect the final South bracket tomorrow before the games.
(10) Davidson (28-6, 20-0 Southern) vs. (3) Wisconsin (31-4, 16-2 Big Ten)
Davidson
Key Player: Stephen Curry-Who else would it be for the Wildcats. Curry will need to carry the scoring the way he's done in the first two NCAA Tournament games. He is as good of a shooter as anyone in the country. If anyone can beat Wisconsin's tough defense and find some good shots, it's this guy. They will need every bit of his best game in order to upset the Badgers.
Under The Radar: Thomas Sander-Sander, who averaged over 13 ppg as a junior last season, has watched his game slip a bit this season, but is still a good big man to grab rebounds. He has not contributed consistently offensively all season, and that won't be where he does the work. They will need 10+ rebounds from Sander, and some good offensive ones that lead to second chance buckets.
How Davidson can beat the Badgers: Stephen Curry, Stephen Curry, Jason Richards, and Stephen Curry. It's going to be mostly Curry doing the scoring for Davidson, but Richards will have to be the guy to get him the ball. One of the best point guards left, he'll have to do some scoring as well. For Davidson, it's all about the guard play.
Wisconsin
Key Player: Jason Bohannon-I don't think Trevon Hughes will have a big game here like he did against Kansas State. It will take a team effort, and sharpshooter Bohannon will lead the way. He came off the bench and played well in the first round, finishing in double digits. I expect the same here, and he'll hit at least a trio of threes.
Under The Radar: Joe Krabbenhoft-Krabbenhoft plays like a big man despite being a 6'7" guard. He'll play the same role he did in the win over Michigan State in the Big Ten Tournament, in which he contributed a double-double. He'll be right under the basket, beating out Andrew Lovedale for rebounds. Not only that, his offensive rebounds will turn into instant offense.
How Wisconsin can beat the Wildcats: Setting their pace will be enough. If Wisconsin can slow the game down the way they have all season, Curry won't be able to put up gaudy numbers and win the game by himself. I think Wisconsin can force their crawling tempo on almost anyone, and they will here.
Prediction: Stephen Curry will still have a good game, but there won't be enough possessions for Davidson to pull off the upset. Wisconsin's Michael Flowers will do a solid job on Curry and keep him around his season average of 25, instead of his NCAA Tournament average of 35. Wisconsin 71-62
(12)Villanova (22-12, 9-9 Big East) vs. (1) Kansas (33-3, 13-3 Big XII)
Villanova
Key Player: Dante Cunningham-I think the Jayhawks will be so focused on Scottie Reynolds that he'll be shut down, so Cunningham is next in line. The tall, lanky forward put up 14 points in the second round game against Siena, and they will need his inside production if the shots aren't falling as hot as they were the first weekend. He's an efficient shooter, 55% on the season.
Under The Radar: Shane Clark-Clark was huge in the Wildcats win in the Big East opening round game against Syracuse, but has struggled to find scoring opportunities ever since. I think he's someone who can come out and put some points up to keep 'Nova in the game against Kansas. He is a bit undersized, but still manages to get to the basket.
How Villanova can beat the Jayhawks: I think they will need to play over their heads in order to beat one of the best teams in the nation. Kansas isn't going to give Villanova anything, so it's Scottie Reynolds and Dante Cunningham will have to carry them.
Kansas
Key Player: Darnell Jackson-Jackson hasn't been the star in the NCAA Tournament so far, but his big build should help him against a young Villanova team who isn't as mature as him. He should get inside and use his body to get to the rim. I think he'll turn out to be the go to guy for the Jayhawks in this matchup.
Under The Radar: Sasha Kaun-Kaun's an experienced veteran who brings size and strength off the bench. He hasn't seen much action in this years NCAA Tournament, but his size should get him some minutes against Villanova. He has offensive ability, and will control the paint on defense. Getting Kaun into the game could be crucial.
How Kansas can beat the Wildcats: Getting into the paint and bullying Villanova's big men. Villanova doesn't have the big men to play with Kansas's athletic forwards, and the Jayhawks would be smart to exploit that weakness. Jackson, Kaun, and Darrell Arthur can get inside and bring in offensive rebounds as well as scoring points. Villanova will have a tough time rebounding on both ends of the floor.
Prediction: Kansas is just too athletic for a young Villanova team who's best years may be ahead of them, as long as Scottie Reynolds stays in college. The size and strength of Kansas is unmatched by most teams, and they'll be a tough out the rest of the way. Kansas 85-70
Expect the final South bracket tomorrow before the games.
West Bracket
WEST
(7) West Virginia (26-10, 11-7 Big East) vs. (3) Xavier (29-6, 14-2 A-10)
West Virginia
Key Player: Darris Nichols-Joe Alexander may get the most publicity as the star of the team, but starting point guard Nichols runs the show. Nichols is a great ball handler, as well as an excellent passer. Not only that, he is a good shot from 3-point range. They will need his best game in order to upset the Musketeers.
Under The Radar: Joe Mazzulla-The backup point guard stepped it up against the Dookies in the second round, hitting key shots, grabbing rebounds despite being the shortest player on the court, and finding his teammates for some key baskets. He finished with 13 points, 11 rebounds, and 8 assists. If he does that again, I think the Mountaineers will win, considering his production is just a bonus.
How West Virginia can beat the Musketeers: Hitting threes and forcing turnovers. Xavier point guard Drew Lavender is an experienced senior, but he is still susceptible in turning the ball over and West Virginia needs to exploit that. If the 3-ball isn't falling for them, they could be in trouble. Darris Nichols and Alex Ruoff base their scoring game on their jump shooting.
Xavier
Key Player: Josh Duncan-Xavier lacks a premier go to guy, but Duncan is probably as close as they get. He's averaged 18 points and 6.5 rebounds per game in the tourney, both well above their NCAA averages. He has an inside and outside game that has allowed him to shoot above 50% from the field and above 40% from the 3 point line on the season. If the game is tight near the end, Xavier will look to Duncan to help them move on.
Under The Radar: BJ Raymond-Raymond comes off the bench with some instant offense via outside shooting. He averaged double digits on the season, but has yet to reach that plateau in either NCAA game. They may need a little more help from him against a solid Mountaineers team. The junior shoots 41.4% from the 3-point line, and will have to hit 2 or 3 key ones.
How Xavier can beat the Musketeers: Force Joe Alexander and Da'Sean Butler into foul trouble, and make the shooters win. If Xavier can get Joe Alexander out of the game, there will be more pressure on Darris Nichols and Alex Ruoff to get the job done. This gives Xavier an advantage, because the percentages are against a jump shooting team who is behind.
Prediction: Bob Huggins is one of the best coaches in the business, and he'll have West Virginia well prepared to battle with Xavier. I think that there are too many weapons on West Virginia, and there isn't a stabilized number one option for the Musketeers. West Virginia has that in Joe Alexander, and combined with hot shooting from Nichols and Ruoff, the 7th seeded 'Eers will be one game away from the Final Four. West Virginia 88-80
(12) Western Kentucky (29-6, 16-2 Sun Belt) vs. (1) UCLA (33-3, 16-2 Pac-10)
Western Kentucky
Key Player: Courtney Lee-Lee already was noticed before the tourney as one of the best mid-major players in America. He was huge in the second round game with San Diego, scoring a game high 29 points. Averaging over 20 ppg on the season, Lee is a great all around player who will be the main focus of UCLA.
Under The Radar: AJ Slaughter-Outside of Lee, Brazelton and Ty Rogers, everyone else on the Hilltoppers is under the radar. Slaughter has spent the majority of the season as Western Kentucky's 6th man, and he does the job well. He was a big part of the upset over Drake, contributing 10 points in 18 minutes. His main strength is his 3 point shooting ability, 44% on the season.
How Western Kentucky can beat the Bruins: It won't be easy. The biggest problem the Hilltoppers face is finding an answer for Kevin Love. Western Kentucky doesn't have the solid big men who can contain him from a big night. Perhaps they'll need to shut down the outside shooting game and let Love go to work, like the Dookies did to Hansbrough when they beat UNC in the first meeting.
UCLA
Key Player: Russell Westbrook-Westbrook was shut down in the close second round game against Texas A&M. If he had his usual night, the Bruins wouldn't have been in much trouble. He's struggled offensively throughout the tournament, and UCLA hopes that will change. In addition to offense, Westbrook is arguably the best defender on the team. It will be his assignment to play defense on Courtney Lee, which will be the best matchup of the game.
Under The Radar: Luc Mbah a Moute-It was hard to find someone who gets significant minutes and is under the radar on the UCLA team, but not many casual fans know of Mbah a Moute. He battled injuries throughout this season, but played 32 minutes in the win over the Aggies, grabbing 8 rebounds. He can be an offensive contributor, but hes mostly there for blocked shots and rebounds, since he's opposite scoring machine Kevin Love. He may be key in preventing the Hilltoppers from winning on the offensive boards.
How UCLA can beat the Hilltoppers: Getting the ball to Love. There is noone on the Hilltoppers who can play defense on Kevin Love one-on-one. Getting the ball inside to him will give the Bruins plenty of open looks, in which Josh Shipp and Darren Collison can capitalize. Russell Westbrook will need to stay out of foul trouble so he can be on Courtney Lee.
Prediction: It's been a good run for Western Kentucky, but they just don't have the firepower to beat UCLA. The Hilltoppers have yet to face a BCS conference team in the tournament, the only team in the Sweet 16 who hasn't. The lack of seeing a team as good as UCLA may hurt them as well. UCLA 83-66
The Midwest and South brackets don't play until Friday, and I should have my predictions for those up later tonight.
(7) West Virginia (26-10, 11-7 Big East) vs. (3) Xavier (29-6, 14-2 A-10)
West Virginia
Key Player: Darris Nichols-Joe Alexander may get the most publicity as the star of the team, but starting point guard Nichols runs the show. Nichols is a great ball handler, as well as an excellent passer. Not only that, he is a good shot from 3-point range. They will need his best game in order to upset the Musketeers.
Under The Radar: Joe Mazzulla-The backup point guard stepped it up against the Dookies in the second round, hitting key shots, grabbing rebounds despite being the shortest player on the court, and finding his teammates for some key baskets. He finished with 13 points, 11 rebounds, and 8 assists. If he does that again, I think the Mountaineers will win, considering his production is just a bonus.
How West Virginia can beat the Musketeers: Hitting threes and forcing turnovers. Xavier point guard Drew Lavender is an experienced senior, but he is still susceptible in turning the ball over and West Virginia needs to exploit that. If the 3-ball isn't falling for them, they could be in trouble. Darris Nichols and Alex Ruoff base their scoring game on their jump shooting.
Xavier
Key Player: Josh Duncan-Xavier lacks a premier go to guy, but Duncan is probably as close as they get. He's averaged 18 points and 6.5 rebounds per game in the tourney, both well above their NCAA averages. He has an inside and outside game that has allowed him to shoot above 50% from the field and above 40% from the 3 point line on the season. If the game is tight near the end, Xavier will look to Duncan to help them move on.
Under The Radar: BJ Raymond-Raymond comes off the bench with some instant offense via outside shooting. He averaged double digits on the season, but has yet to reach that plateau in either NCAA game. They may need a little more help from him against a solid Mountaineers team. The junior shoots 41.4% from the 3-point line, and will have to hit 2 or 3 key ones.
How Xavier can beat the Musketeers: Force Joe Alexander and Da'Sean Butler into foul trouble, and make the shooters win. If Xavier can get Joe Alexander out of the game, there will be more pressure on Darris Nichols and Alex Ruoff to get the job done. This gives Xavier an advantage, because the percentages are against a jump shooting team who is behind.
Prediction: Bob Huggins is one of the best coaches in the business, and he'll have West Virginia well prepared to battle with Xavier. I think that there are too many weapons on West Virginia, and there isn't a stabilized number one option for the Musketeers. West Virginia has that in Joe Alexander, and combined with hot shooting from Nichols and Ruoff, the 7th seeded 'Eers will be one game away from the Final Four. West Virginia 88-80
(12) Western Kentucky (29-6, 16-2 Sun Belt) vs. (1) UCLA (33-3, 16-2 Pac-10)
Western Kentucky
Key Player: Courtney Lee-Lee already was noticed before the tourney as one of the best mid-major players in America. He was huge in the second round game with San Diego, scoring a game high 29 points. Averaging over 20 ppg on the season, Lee is a great all around player who will be the main focus of UCLA.
Under The Radar: AJ Slaughter-Outside of Lee, Brazelton and Ty Rogers, everyone else on the Hilltoppers is under the radar. Slaughter has spent the majority of the season as Western Kentucky's 6th man, and he does the job well. He was a big part of the upset over Drake, contributing 10 points in 18 minutes. His main strength is his 3 point shooting ability, 44% on the season.
How Western Kentucky can beat the Bruins: It won't be easy. The biggest problem the Hilltoppers face is finding an answer for Kevin Love. Western Kentucky doesn't have the solid big men who can contain him from a big night. Perhaps they'll need to shut down the outside shooting game and let Love go to work, like the Dookies did to Hansbrough when they beat UNC in the first meeting.
UCLA
Key Player: Russell Westbrook-Westbrook was shut down in the close second round game against Texas A&M. If he had his usual night, the Bruins wouldn't have been in much trouble. He's struggled offensively throughout the tournament, and UCLA hopes that will change. In addition to offense, Westbrook is arguably the best defender on the team. It will be his assignment to play defense on Courtney Lee, which will be the best matchup of the game.
Under The Radar: Luc Mbah a Moute-It was hard to find someone who gets significant minutes and is under the radar on the UCLA team, but not many casual fans know of Mbah a Moute. He battled injuries throughout this season, but played 32 minutes in the win over the Aggies, grabbing 8 rebounds. He can be an offensive contributor, but hes mostly there for blocked shots and rebounds, since he's opposite scoring machine Kevin Love. He may be key in preventing the Hilltoppers from winning on the offensive boards.
How UCLA can beat the Hilltoppers: Getting the ball to Love. There is noone on the Hilltoppers who can play defense on Kevin Love one-on-one. Getting the ball inside to him will give the Bruins plenty of open looks, in which Josh Shipp and Darren Collison can capitalize. Russell Westbrook will need to stay out of foul trouble so he can be on Courtney Lee.
Prediction: It's been a good run for Western Kentucky, but they just don't have the firepower to beat UCLA. The Hilltoppers have yet to face a BCS conference team in the tournament, the only team in the Sweet 16 who hasn't. The lack of seeing a team as good as UCLA may hurt them as well. UCLA 83-66
The Midwest and South brackets don't play until Friday, and I should have my predictions for those up later tonight.
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Sweet 16 Matchups Disected
March Madness resumes play tomorrow with the Sweet 16 round of play. The first weekend came and went very quickly, and three double digit seeds remain, including two mid-majors. Will they move on even further? Can Davidson or Western Kentucky become the next George Mason? That's what I'm about to tell you.
EAST
(4) Washington State (26-8, 11-7 Pac-10) vs. (1) North Carolina (34-2, 14-2 ACC)
Washington State
Key Player: Kyle Weaver-Weaver is one of the best defenders in college basketball, and he can contribute offensively as well. It will be his job to contain Wayne Ellington on defense and not give him open looks. He averaged 14.5 points and 8 rebounds in the first weekend, and they'll need that (and maybe more) in order to beat UNC. Derrick Low is the shooter, but Weaver is what keeps the Cougars going.
Under The Radar: Taylor Rochestie-Rochestie's scoring has taken a backseat over the first two games, but they'll need his range in order to beat the high-flying Tar Heels. Rochestie has dished out 17 assists over the first two games, but hasn't scored in double digits in either. He's a solid 3-point shooter, 44% on the season, and he'll have to hit some big ones.
How Washington State can beat the Tar Heels: Sound defense and forcing turnovers. North Carolina's two losses this season have been on poor shooting and ball-handling nights. They turned the ball over 20 times vs. Dook and shot only 3-17 from 3-point range. Against Maryland, they were held to 38% from the field. Washington State's best bet will be to lock down the shooters, Ellington and Green, and try to make Hansbrough beat Wazzu by himself.
North Carolina
Key Player: Tyler Hansbrough-Hansbrough's done it all for the Tar Heels this season, performing at a player of the year standard. He is a terrific individual who is a model of consistency as well. He should get his 20+ points in this one in leading North Carolina to the Elite Eight.
Under The Radar: Deon Thompson-Thompson has been Psycho T's partner down low all season, and he's hid through the season because of Hansbrough's big numbers. After struggling down the stretch, he's averaged 15.5 ppg in the NCAA Tournament so far. He only gets 20-25 mins a game, but he can score and rebound very well. If Washington State puts extra men on Hansbrough, Thompson will have to make them pay.
How North Carolina can beat the Cougars: Setting the tempo of the game and feeding the bigs. North Carolina should run their offense through Hansbrough, because Washington State doesn't have the man power to contain him. The extra men on Hansbrough will give Wayne Ellington enough opportunities to hit some shots. Ty Lawson looks healthy, which should help them set a fast tempo.
Prediction: This one will be right because of Washington State's excellent defense. In the end, rebounding will be the key, and North Carolina will get the extra offensive boards to put them in the next round. North Carolina 78-75
(3) Louisville (26-8, 14-4 Big East) vs. (2) Tennessee (31-4, 14-2 SEC)
Louisville
Key Player: Edgar Sosa-Sosa only averages 7.9 ppg, but this is a balanced team that doesn't have a scorer who puts up gaudy numbers. Sosa was crucial in wins over Pittsburgh and Notre Dame earlier in the season, and that will happen again here. The sophomore's numbers have actually slipped a bit from last season, but he's got an improving 3-point jumper and will be the main man in this game.
Under The Radar: Andre McGee-McGee gets 20-25 mins a game but doesn't stick out as a star player on the Cardinals. He's a solid 3-point shooter, but only gets a couple looks per game. He started vs. Oklahoma and only played 18 minutes, but scored 7 points and played solid defense. I think his contribution in this one will be offensively, from 3-point range.
How Louisville can beat the Volunteers: This should be a great game between two evenly matched teams. It will be the extra things, the hustling for loose balls, that makes a difference. Louisville will also need its outside shooting game to be working. I think David Padgett and Earl Clark can out-rebound Tennessee down low.
Tennessee
Key Player: JaJuan Smith-Chris Lofton's been cold in the tournament, and I think JaJuan will have the better game. He's stepped it up big late in the season, and he shoots 3's as well as anyone. While Louisville focuses on the star, Smith will shine from outside.
Under The Radar: Jordan Howell-Howell is not a prolific scorer or playmaker, but he takes care of the ball and will get a few assists. He plays good defense as well, and they'll need it against Louisville. He didn't play much vs. Butler, but with more minutes he can be a solid contributor outside the box score.
How Tennessee can beat the Cardinals: Ball control and finding shooters. Chris Lofton and JaJuan Smith need to get some good looks from 3, and the Vols cannot turn the ball over, because Louisville will capitalize on them.
Prediction: Tennessee narrowly beat Butler, but Louisville is on a whole other level. The Big East is the premier conference in the NCAA. Louisville's depth will propel them to a matchup with UNC. Louisville 85-79
EAST
(4) Washington State (26-8, 11-7 Pac-10) vs. (1) North Carolina (34-2, 14-2 ACC)
Washington State
Key Player: Kyle Weaver-Weaver is one of the best defenders in college basketball, and he can contribute offensively as well. It will be his job to contain Wayne Ellington on defense and not give him open looks. He averaged 14.5 points and 8 rebounds in the first weekend, and they'll need that (and maybe more) in order to beat UNC. Derrick Low is the shooter, but Weaver is what keeps the Cougars going.
Under The Radar: Taylor Rochestie-Rochestie's scoring has taken a backseat over the first two games, but they'll need his range in order to beat the high-flying Tar Heels. Rochestie has dished out 17 assists over the first two games, but hasn't scored in double digits in either. He's a solid 3-point shooter, 44% on the season, and he'll have to hit some big ones.
How Washington State can beat the Tar Heels: Sound defense and forcing turnovers. North Carolina's two losses this season have been on poor shooting and ball-handling nights. They turned the ball over 20 times vs. Dook and shot only 3-17 from 3-point range. Against Maryland, they were held to 38% from the field. Washington State's best bet will be to lock down the shooters, Ellington and Green, and try to make Hansbrough beat Wazzu by himself.
North Carolina
Key Player: Tyler Hansbrough-Hansbrough's done it all for the Tar Heels this season, performing at a player of the year standard. He is a terrific individual who is a model of consistency as well. He should get his 20+ points in this one in leading North Carolina to the Elite Eight.
Under The Radar: Deon Thompson-Thompson has been Psycho T's partner down low all season, and he's hid through the season because of Hansbrough's big numbers. After struggling down the stretch, he's averaged 15.5 ppg in the NCAA Tournament so far. He only gets 20-25 mins a game, but he can score and rebound very well. If Washington State puts extra men on Hansbrough, Thompson will have to make them pay.
How North Carolina can beat the Cougars: Setting the tempo of the game and feeding the bigs. North Carolina should run their offense through Hansbrough, because Washington State doesn't have the man power to contain him. The extra men on Hansbrough will give Wayne Ellington enough opportunities to hit some shots. Ty Lawson looks healthy, which should help them set a fast tempo.
Prediction: This one will be right because of Washington State's excellent defense. In the end, rebounding will be the key, and North Carolina will get the extra offensive boards to put them in the next round. North Carolina 78-75
(3) Louisville (26-8, 14-4 Big East) vs. (2) Tennessee (31-4, 14-2 SEC)
Louisville
Key Player: Edgar Sosa-Sosa only averages 7.9 ppg, but this is a balanced team that doesn't have a scorer who puts up gaudy numbers. Sosa was crucial in wins over Pittsburgh and Notre Dame earlier in the season, and that will happen again here. The sophomore's numbers have actually slipped a bit from last season, but he's got an improving 3-point jumper and will be the main man in this game.
Under The Radar: Andre McGee-McGee gets 20-25 mins a game but doesn't stick out as a star player on the Cardinals. He's a solid 3-point shooter, but only gets a couple looks per game. He started vs. Oklahoma and only played 18 minutes, but scored 7 points and played solid defense. I think his contribution in this one will be offensively, from 3-point range.
How Louisville can beat the Volunteers: This should be a great game between two evenly matched teams. It will be the extra things, the hustling for loose balls, that makes a difference. Louisville will also need its outside shooting game to be working. I think David Padgett and Earl Clark can out-rebound Tennessee down low.
Tennessee
Key Player: JaJuan Smith-Chris Lofton's been cold in the tournament, and I think JaJuan will have the better game. He's stepped it up big late in the season, and he shoots 3's as well as anyone. While Louisville focuses on the star, Smith will shine from outside.
Under The Radar: Jordan Howell-Howell is not a prolific scorer or playmaker, but he takes care of the ball and will get a few assists. He plays good defense as well, and they'll need it against Louisville. He didn't play much vs. Butler, but with more minutes he can be a solid contributor outside the box score.
How Tennessee can beat the Cardinals: Ball control and finding shooters. Chris Lofton and JaJuan Smith need to get some good looks from 3, and the Vols cannot turn the ball over, because Louisville will capitalize on them.
Prediction: Tennessee narrowly beat Butler, but Louisville is on a whole other level. The Big East is the premier conference in the NCAA. Louisville's depth will propel them to a matchup with UNC. Louisville 85-79
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
March Is As Mad As Its Ever Been
What a weekend. I'm still amazed at how March Madness can captivate the sports world the way it does. We had the upsets, the chalk, and it's all mixed now. We had the great finishes, great offense, great defense, bad defense, cold shooting, a little of everything. I'll try to come up with some of the things I've noticed.
The old adage that guard play wins in March isn't as true as it maybe once was. Perhaps a prime example is the Dookies, a team with great guard play but no big man. They could barely get past Belmont, and West Virginia was much too strong.
Villanova will be very, very good next year. I didn't see them play much during the year, but they have looked great for a team full of underclassmen. Jay Wright has done a great job helping them advance to the Sweet 16. They will be right in the thick of the Big East title race next year.
North Carolina won't lose. I may be bias, but I don't see how they can be stopped. The only team that I think can keep up with them is UCLA (+ the refs). Wayne Ellington has figured things out, and we are seeing the best of Ty Lawson. Add in the model of consistency (Psycho T), and thats the ingredients for the National Championship.
I'll have some predictions for the upcoming weekend probably tomorrow. I should be updating this blog more and more frequently, and we'll be turning towards a more baseball focused site.
The old adage that guard play wins in March isn't as true as it maybe once was. Perhaps a prime example is the Dookies, a team with great guard play but no big man. They could barely get past Belmont, and West Virginia was much too strong.
Villanova will be very, very good next year. I didn't see them play much during the year, but they have looked great for a team full of underclassmen. Jay Wright has done a great job helping them advance to the Sweet 16. They will be right in the thick of the Big East title race next year.
North Carolina won't lose. I may be bias, but I don't see how they can be stopped. The only team that I think can keep up with them is UCLA (+ the refs). Wayne Ellington has figured things out, and we are seeing the best of Ty Lawson. Add in the model of consistency (Psycho T), and thats the ingredients for the National Championship.
I'll have some predictions for the upcoming weekend probably tomorrow. I should be updating this blog more and more frequently, and we'll be turning towards a more baseball focused site.
Saturday, March 22, 2008
Nothing Beats March Madness
This has to be the most exciting weekend in the sports world. The first two rounds, filled with great games and Cinderellas. The next two days will be just as exciting, and how about Friday's upsets.
My pick for this years George Mason, the hometown Saints of Siena, blew out the Commodores in a game that wasn't even close. I like their chances to advance past Villanova and square off with the Jayhawks in the Sweet 16.
A couple more things I've noticed that could continue:
Butler is really good. Much better then the 7 seed they were given. I think this could be a team that runs to the Elite Eight.
The Pac-10 is not nearly the best conference in the country. I think the Big XII is making a great showing, with 5/6 teams moving on. But it shouldn't be a question that the Big East is at the top.
Look for these upsets in the second round...
Butler beats Tennessee
West Virginia beats Dook
Oklahoma beats Louisville
Marquette beats Stanford
Kansas State beats Wisconsin
Siena beats Villanova
Davidson beats Georgetown
I'm expecting 4 of those 7, at least.
Enjoy the day's festivities and I'll be back tonight.
My pick for this years George Mason, the hometown Saints of Siena, blew out the Commodores in a game that wasn't even close. I like their chances to advance past Villanova and square off with the Jayhawks in the Sweet 16.
A couple more things I've noticed that could continue:
Butler is really good. Much better then the 7 seed they were given. I think this could be a team that runs to the Elite Eight.
The Pac-10 is not nearly the best conference in the country. I think the Big XII is making a great showing, with 5/6 teams moving on. But it shouldn't be a question that the Big East is at the top.
Look for these upsets in the second round...
Butler beats Tennessee
West Virginia beats Dook
Oklahoma beats Louisville
Marquette beats Stanford
Kansas State beats Wisconsin
Siena beats Villanova
Davidson beats Georgetown
I'm expecting 4 of those 7, at least.
Enjoy the day's festivities and I'll be back tonight.
Thursday, March 20, 2008
Some Notes on the First Set of Games
I was able to watch the first set of games in the 2008 NCAA Tournament, and they set the table for what should be a great tourney. I'll be gone 4-7:30 pm EST, so I'm going to miss a portion of the next couple sets of games. I watched Xavier-Georgia and Michigan State-Temple on the TV and March Madness On Demand.
The Spartans looked very impressive in their win over Temple. The game was not nearly as close as the 11 point final would make you think, Michigan State dominated Temple. Dionte Christmas was shut down and finished with more fouls then points. At the half, Temple's two leading scorers (Christmas and Mark Tyndale) had a combined two points. Michigan State is a dark horse to make a Final Four run.
Georgia-Xavier was much closer then the 73-61 final score. Georgia controlled the first half and the beginning of the second half, but fatigue set in and Georgia's shooters went cold. Josh Duncan really played a spectacular game for Xavier. I do think they will have some trouble if Purdue gets past Baylor.
The Spartans looked very impressive in their win over Temple. The game was not nearly as close as the 11 point final would make you think, Michigan State dominated Temple. Dionte Christmas was shut down and finished with more fouls then points. At the half, Temple's two leading scorers (Christmas and Mark Tyndale) had a combined two points. Michigan State is a dark horse to make a Final Four run.
Georgia-Xavier was much closer then the 73-61 final score. Georgia controlled the first half and the beginning of the second half, but fatigue set in and Georgia's shooters went cold. Josh Duncan really played a spectacular game for Xavier. I do think they will have some trouble if Purdue gets past Baylor.
Tuesday, March 18, 2008
Sorry for the Delay
I've been very busy with some school project, and I'm exhausted at night. I will try my best to get all 4 bracket overviews up by tomorrow night, since the tournament begins Thursday at 12:20 pm EST. I apologize for not having the time to go through and look at each matchup, I hope I can get it all done tomorrow night.
Monday, March 17, 2008
The Field Is Set, The Anticipation Is Overwhelming
I am as excited as anyone for this year's NCAA Tournament. I've followed the season more closely then I ever have before. This should be one of the greatest tournaments in recent memory, as the brackets revealed some very exciting first-round matchups. I will go bracket by bracket, starting with the East tonight, and I will also touch on the best games of the first weekend.
Sunday, March 16, 2008
It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year
This is the Sunday we've all been waiting for; Selection Sunday. One of the most exciting days of the year. Before it, we have some very good conference championships, and Illinois and Georgia want to spoil the bubble party by taking away two more bids. Let's go through the championship games, then some thoughts on who is going to make the field.
ACC
Clemson (24-8, 10-6) vs. #1 North Carolina (31-2, 14-2): North Carolina narrowly defeated Virginia Tech behind a jump shot by the best player in college basketball with 0.8 seconds left. Now they face a team that has given them fits twice this year. Clemson took North Carolina to OT and home and then double OT at the Dean Dome, losing both times. They wanted to see the Tar Heels again more then anyone else. I think that they won't have enough for North Carolina once again, as Psycho T leads the way.
Prediction: North Carolina 71-56
Big 10
Illinois (16-10, 5-13) vs. #6 Wisconsin (28-4, 16-2): The Illini's surprise run has put bubble teams on the edge of their seats. I think they can pull the upset. Wisconsin's Trevon Hughes left the game with an ankle injury yesterday, and it's unknown if he'll be ready for this one. Look for Trent Meacham and Brian Randle to lead Illinois back to the tournament.
Prediction: Illinois 67-62
Big XII
#5 Kansas (30-3, 13-3) vs. #8 Texas (28-5, 13-3): A big game that could give Kansas a 1 seed with a win. I don't think Texas is in the picture for a 1 seed, as it's between Kansas, Tennessee, and Dook for the fourth spot (after UNC, Memphis, UCLA). I think this will be a great game, and Mario Chalmers will be the difference for the Jayhawks.
Prediction: Kansas 76-73
SEC
Georgia (16-16, 4-12) vs. Arkansas (22-10, 9-7): Can Georgia continue their miracle run into the NCAAs? They won two games in one day yesterday, beating a couple of NCAA-caliber teams in Kentucky and Mississippi State. Dennis Felton has this team motivated and ready to play. Unlike the Wisconsin Badgers, I believe Arkansas will take down the Cinderella. Darian Townes is having a great tournament and he'll play well.
Prediction: Arkansas 62-54
Southland
Texas-Arlington (20-11, 7-9) vs. Northwestern State (15-17, 9-7): The Southland was the home of Texas A&M-Corpus Christi last season, who led Wisconsin for the majority of the game in the NCAA Tournament first round last year as a 15 seed. A couple years ago, Northwestern State upset Iowa as a 14 seed. I think it will be Texas-Arlington winning this one, behind solid play by Rog'er Guignard.
Prediction: Texas-Arlington 74-65
After these games are done, we'll have Selection Sunday. I believe the one seeds will be North Carolina, Memphis, UCLA, and Kansas. As for the other side of the spectrum, the bubble, I think teams like Kentucky, Arizona, Ohio State, St. Joe's, and Illinois State will be in. The outside will include teams like Virginia Tech, Villanova, Arizona State, UMass, Dayton, and VCU.
I'll put in my thoughts on the brackets later tonight, and then I'll go bracket by bracket leading up to Thursday.
ACC
Clemson (24-8, 10-6) vs. #1 North Carolina (31-2, 14-2): North Carolina narrowly defeated Virginia Tech behind a jump shot by the best player in college basketball with 0.8 seconds left. Now they face a team that has given them fits twice this year. Clemson took North Carolina to OT and home and then double OT at the Dean Dome, losing both times. They wanted to see the Tar Heels again more then anyone else. I think that they won't have enough for North Carolina once again, as Psycho T leads the way.
Prediction: North Carolina 71-56
Big 10
Illinois (16-10, 5-13) vs. #6 Wisconsin (28-4, 16-2): The Illini's surprise run has put bubble teams on the edge of their seats. I think they can pull the upset. Wisconsin's Trevon Hughes left the game with an ankle injury yesterday, and it's unknown if he'll be ready for this one. Look for Trent Meacham and Brian Randle to lead Illinois back to the tournament.
Prediction: Illinois 67-62
Big XII
#5 Kansas (30-3, 13-3) vs. #8 Texas (28-5, 13-3): A big game that could give Kansas a 1 seed with a win. I don't think Texas is in the picture for a 1 seed, as it's between Kansas, Tennessee, and Dook for the fourth spot (after UNC, Memphis, UCLA). I think this will be a great game, and Mario Chalmers will be the difference for the Jayhawks.
Prediction: Kansas 76-73
SEC
Georgia (16-16, 4-12) vs. Arkansas (22-10, 9-7): Can Georgia continue their miracle run into the NCAAs? They won two games in one day yesterday, beating a couple of NCAA-caliber teams in Kentucky and Mississippi State. Dennis Felton has this team motivated and ready to play. Unlike the Wisconsin Badgers, I believe Arkansas will take down the Cinderella. Darian Townes is having a great tournament and he'll play well.
Prediction: Arkansas 62-54
Southland
Texas-Arlington (20-11, 7-9) vs. Northwestern State (15-17, 9-7): The Southland was the home of Texas A&M-Corpus Christi last season, who led Wisconsin for the majority of the game in the NCAA Tournament first round last year as a 15 seed. A couple years ago, Northwestern State upset Iowa as a 14 seed. I think it will be Texas-Arlington winning this one, behind solid play by Rog'er Guignard.
Prediction: Texas-Arlington 74-65
After these games are done, we'll have Selection Sunday. I believe the one seeds will be North Carolina, Memphis, UCLA, and Kansas. As for the other side of the spectrum, the bubble, I think teams like Kentucky, Arizona, Ohio State, St. Joe's, and Illinois State will be in. The outside will include teams like Virginia Tech, Villanova, Arizona State, UMass, Dayton, and VCU.
I'll put in my thoughts on the brackets later tonight, and then I'll go bracket by bracket leading up to Thursday.
Saturday, March 15, 2008
Conference Championship Games Aplenty
We will continue Saturday's predictions with all the conference championships, eleven to be exact. I'll do them in alphabetical order by conference.
America East
Hartford (18-15, 10-6) vs. UMBC (23-8, 13-3): Two teams that are looking for their first NCAA Tournament bid square off here. UMBC is really having its first successful season in D-I, and wants to cap it off with a huge win here. They are led by big man Darryl Proctor and outside shooter Ray Barbosa. The Retrievers also have one of the better point guards in the Am. East, Jay Greene. Hartford doesn't have a big man who can contain Proctor, and the double-team will lead to open looks for the shooters. Watch out for the Hawks' Joe Zeglinski, who is one of the better 3-point shooters in the conference.
Prediction: UMBC 79-76
Atlantic-10
St. Joseph's (21-11, 9-7) vs. Temple (20-12, 11-5): Will both of these teams get in? It seems as if St. Joe's has the better resume, especially after the win over Xavier yesterday. Temple probably will need the win today to lock up a spot, and that would mean 3 bids for the A-10. I think the Owls can do it, and Dionte Christmas should be noticed. He's one of the better unknown players in college basketball.
Prediction: Temple 72-64
Big East
Pittsburgh (25-9, 10-8) vs. #9 Georgetown (27-4, 15-3): Pittsburgh is the surprise of this tournament, coming in as a 7 seed and winning their way to the finals. They now face the regular season champs, who dismantled West Virginia in the semis behind Roy Hibbert's best effort of the season. The game will live up to the hype, and Roy Hibbert will come up clutch again. Sam Young continues to blossom for the Panthers. The game will come down to the final seconds, and I believe Jessie Sapp will make the difference.
Prediction: Georgetown 79-77 (OT)
Big West
UC Irvine (18-15, 9-7) vs. Cal State Fullerton (23-8, 12-4): Irvine has upset their way to the finals where they meet the #1 seed. Josh Akagnon and the Titans will be way to much for the Cinderella of this tournament.
Prediction: Cal State Fullerton 79-59
C-USA
Tulsa (20-12, 8-8) vs. #3 Memphis (32-1, 16-0): Memphis lucked out in that it didn't have to face UAB or Houston in the finals. They shouldn't have too much trouble with Tulsa. Derrick Rose and CDR will lead Memphis to their 33rd win of the year.
Prediction: Memphis 73-62
MAC
Akron (23-9, 11-5) vs. Kent State (27-6, 13-3): Bubble team fans will be rooting hard for Kent State in this one, as they seem likely to gain an at-large if they fall. Akron has looked very good since Jeremiah Wood came back from injury. This should be a good game, and I think in the end those bubble fans will be disappointed. Jeremiah Wood will lead the Zips into the tourney.
Prediction: Akron 61-58
MEAC
Coppin State (15-20, 7-9) vs. Morgan State (22-9, 14-2): Coppin State looks to pull an upset and reach the play-in game of the NCAAs. Morgan State is the #1 seed of the tourney. I will go with Coppin State in the upset. Tywain McKee is a good 3 point shooter and Robert Pressey controls the paint.
Prediction: Coppin State 64-60
Mountain West
UNLV (25-7, 12-4) vs. #23 Brigham Young (27-6, 14-2): Both of these teams look safe to make the field of 65, after New Mexico fell out early. The game is essentially a home game for UNLV, since the tourneys on their home court. Lee Cummard played great in the semis and he plus Johnathan Tavernari should be enough.
Prediction: Brigham Young 73-60
Pac-10
#11 Stanford (26-6, 13-5) vs. #2 UCLA (30-3, 16-2): The Pac-10 gets its dream matchup of the 1 and 2 seeds of the tourney. UCLA had a little trouble with USC, but Stanford used a big game from Brook Lopez to control the win over Wazzu. UCLA is the better team, but this game will be close. Josh Shipp will be the key scorer for the Bruins in this one, who can win without Mbah a Moute.
Prediction: UCLA 63-62
SWAC
Jackson State (14-19, 10-8) vs. Mississippi Valley State (16-15, 12-6): The winner of this game is likely to get a spot in the play-in game. Jackson State has been in the pat few NCAAs, and I think they'll take this game. Grant Maxey and Darrion Griffin are a couple good scorers for the Tigers.
Prediction: Jackson State 70-56
WAC
Boise State (24-8, 12-4) vs. New Mexico State (21-13, 12-4): What should be a very good game pits two high scoring teams up against each other. I don't know if Reggie Larry can do it all by himself for Boise, and New Mexico State has plenty of weapons. Justin Hawkins and Fred Peete will help the Aggies earn a NCAA bid.
Prediction: New Mexico State 85-81
Thats it and thats all folks, now lets watch some college basketball baybey!
America East
Hartford (18-15, 10-6) vs. UMBC (23-8, 13-3): Two teams that are looking for their first NCAA Tournament bid square off here. UMBC is really having its first successful season in D-I, and wants to cap it off with a huge win here. They are led by big man Darryl Proctor and outside shooter Ray Barbosa. The Retrievers also have one of the better point guards in the Am. East, Jay Greene. Hartford doesn't have a big man who can contain Proctor, and the double-team will lead to open looks for the shooters. Watch out for the Hawks' Joe Zeglinski, who is one of the better 3-point shooters in the conference.
Prediction: UMBC 79-76
Atlantic-10
St. Joseph's (21-11, 9-7) vs. Temple (20-12, 11-5): Will both of these teams get in? It seems as if St. Joe's has the better resume, especially after the win over Xavier yesterday. Temple probably will need the win today to lock up a spot, and that would mean 3 bids for the A-10. I think the Owls can do it, and Dionte Christmas should be noticed. He's one of the better unknown players in college basketball.
Prediction: Temple 72-64
Big East
Pittsburgh (25-9, 10-8) vs. #9 Georgetown (27-4, 15-3): Pittsburgh is the surprise of this tournament, coming in as a 7 seed and winning their way to the finals. They now face the regular season champs, who dismantled West Virginia in the semis behind Roy Hibbert's best effort of the season. The game will live up to the hype, and Roy Hibbert will come up clutch again. Sam Young continues to blossom for the Panthers. The game will come down to the final seconds, and I believe Jessie Sapp will make the difference.
Prediction: Georgetown 79-77 (OT)
Big West
UC Irvine (18-15, 9-7) vs. Cal State Fullerton (23-8, 12-4): Irvine has upset their way to the finals where they meet the #1 seed. Josh Akagnon and the Titans will be way to much for the Cinderella of this tournament.
Prediction: Cal State Fullerton 79-59
C-USA
Tulsa (20-12, 8-8) vs. #3 Memphis (32-1, 16-0): Memphis lucked out in that it didn't have to face UAB or Houston in the finals. They shouldn't have too much trouble with Tulsa. Derrick Rose and CDR will lead Memphis to their 33rd win of the year.
Prediction: Memphis 73-62
MAC
Akron (23-9, 11-5) vs. Kent State (27-6, 13-3): Bubble team fans will be rooting hard for Kent State in this one, as they seem likely to gain an at-large if they fall. Akron has looked very good since Jeremiah Wood came back from injury. This should be a good game, and I think in the end those bubble fans will be disappointed. Jeremiah Wood will lead the Zips into the tourney.
Prediction: Akron 61-58
MEAC
Coppin State (15-20, 7-9) vs. Morgan State (22-9, 14-2): Coppin State looks to pull an upset and reach the play-in game of the NCAAs. Morgan State is the #1 seed of the tourney. I will go with Coppin State in the upset. Tywain McKee is a good 3 point shooter and Robert Pressey controls the paint.
Prediction: Coppin State 64-60
Mountain West
UNLV (25-7, 12-4) vs. #23 Brigham Young (27-6, 14-2): Both of these teams look safe to make the field of 65, after New Mexico fell out early. The game is essentially a home game for UNLV, since the tourneys on their home court. Lee Cummard played great in the semis and he plus Johnathan Tavernari should be enough.
Prediction: Brigham Young 73-60
Pac-10
#11 Stanford (26-6, 13-5) vs. #2 UCLA (30-3, 16-2): The Pac-10 gets its dream matchup of the 1 and 2 seeds of the tourney. UCLA had a little trouble with USC, but Stanford used a big game from Brook Lopez to control the win over Wazzu. UCLA is the better team, but this game will be close. Josh Shipp will be the key scorer for the Bruins in this one, who can win without Mbah a Moute.
Prediction: UCLA 63-62
SWAC
Jackson State (14-19, 10-8) vs. Mississippi Valley State (16-15, 12-6): The winner of this game is likely to get a spot in the play-in game. Jackson State has been in the pat few NCAAs, and I think they'll take this game. Grant Maxey and Darrion Griffin are a couple good scorers for the Tigers.
Prediction: Jackson State 70-56
WAC
Boise State (24-8, 12-4) vs. New Mexico State (21-13, 12-4): What should be a very good game pits two high scoring teams up against each other. I don't know if Reggie Larry can do it all by himself for Boise, and New Mexico State has plenty of weapons. Justin Hawkins and Fred Peete will help the Aggies earn a NCAA bid.
Prediction: New Mexico State 85-81
Thats it and thats all folks, now lets watch some college basketball baybey!
Crazy Friday Leads To Exciting Saturday
Could there have been a crazier day then yesterday? Not only were there upsets, there was tornados. The Big 10 was the home to upsets, as Illinois and Minnesota move on to face each other in the semis (to bubble teams discretion). The latest news I've heard is the Georgia/Kentucky game will be played at noon, and then the winner will face Mississippi State at 8:30pm EST. Trying to make the doubleheader as fair as possible.
We'll start off with the conferences who have semifinal games today (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, SEC), and then I'll have the conference championship games in the next post.
ACC
Virginia Tech (19-12, 9-7) vs. #1 North Carolina (30-2, 14-2): Was Virginia Tech's win over Miami yesterday enough to get them in the field? A loss today will put them right on the border. Beating the #1 team in the nation would probably lock up an at-large for the Hokies. North Carolina beat Va. Tech by 39 in their only meeting of the season, so the Hokies didn't gain too much confidence from that. I don't think they have an answer for Psycho T, North Carolina should pull away in the second half.
Prediction: North Carolina 86-69
Clemson (23-8, 10-6) vs. #7 Dook (27-4, 13-3): It will be fate that we get a third UNC-Dook matchup this season. DeMarcus Nelson should lead the way in this one, and I don't think Clemson will come close. Dook won't be looking ahead to UNC.
Prediction: Dook 87-68
Big 10
#19 Michigan State (25-7, 12-6) vs. #6 Wisconsin (27-4, 16-2): Wisconsin is one of the most underrated powers in college basketball, and they are two more wins away from locking up a 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Michigan State got past the Buckeyes and looked strong doing it, as Drew Neitzel had one of his strongest performances of the season. I didn't like the way Wisconsin's offense looked against Michigan. I think it will be Raymar Morgan and Kalin Lucas leading the way for the Spartans to pull off yet another Big 10 Tournament upset.
Prediction: Michigan State 65-47
Illinois (15-18, 5-13) vs. Minnesota (20-12, 8-10): If Minnesota wins this, should they get into the bubble discussion? They really only have 2 solid wins on the season, Ohio State and then the thriller over Indiana yesterday. Illinois shocked Purdue in OT to move onto the semis. Bubble teams are rooting for the Spartans and Badgers very hard, as neither of these teams look like at-large bid candidates. Dan Coleman and Lawrence Westbrook will lead Minnesota to the Big 10 title game.
Prediction: Minnesota 67-53
Big XII
Oklahoma (22-10, 9-7) vs. #8 Texas (27-5, 13-3): Both favorites moved on to the semis, where the Longhorns look to get that Texas-Kansas matchup again. DJ Augustin and AJ Abrams are about as good of a pair as any in the country. I think they'll be too much for the Sooners, who are more about the interior game with Blake Griffin and Longar Longar. Look for Texas to get back to the Big XII Final once again.
Prediction: Texas 74-54
Texas A&M (24-9, 8-8) vs. #5 Kansas (29-3, 13-3): Texas A&M held on to beat Kansas State last night, locking them up an at-large bid. Now, they get a chance to improve seeding some by beating the Jayhawks and ruining their #1 seed hopes. This is my game of the day, I think it will end up going into OT. Josh Carter and DeAndre Jordan are going to step it up for the Aggies and help them keep it close. In the end, Kansas has too many weapons, and we will get that Kansas-Texas matchup we all want to see.
Prediction: Kansas 79-69 (OT)
SEC
I'm sticking with my prediction of Georgia upsetting Kentucky, so I'll just plug them into the semis.
Arkansas (21-10, 9-7) vs. #4 Tennessee (29-3, 14-2): Arkansas may be able to feel safe after yesterday's win over Vandy. With all the losses from bubble teams, their profile looks good enough to make the field. This will be right up there with Kansas-Texas A&M for game of the day. Darian Townes has had a great tournament and I think he will contribute with a double-double. JaJuan and Tyler Smith will be the keys for the Vols as they advance in a close one.
Prediction: Tennessee 80-77 (OT)
Georgia (15-16, 4-12) vs. Mississippi State (22-9, 12-4): Georgia will advance past Kentucky to face a talented Mississippi State team who won in OT last night. However, this is the second game in the day for Georgia, a team that is shorthanded as it is. It would take an a ton of heart for them to advance in this one. It will probably be a low scoring affair, and I think that plays better for Mississippi State. Jamont Gordon will shine, and Jarvis Varnardo will make some key plays in the defensive paint.
Prediction: Mississippi State 59-49
We'll start off with the conferences who have semifinal games today (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, SEC), and then I'll have the conference championship games in the next post.
ACC
Virginia Tech (19-12, 9-7) vs. #1 North Carolina (30-2, 14-2): Was Virginia Tech's win over Miami yesterday enough to get them in the field? A loss today will put them right on the border. Beating the #1 team in the nation would probably lock up an at-large for the Hokies. North Carolina beat Va. Tech by 39 in their only meeting of the season, so the Hokies didn't gain too much confidence from that. I don't think they have an answer for Psycho T, North Carolina should pull away in the second half.
Prediction: North Carolina 86-69
Clemson (23-8, 10-6) vs. #7 Dook (27-4, 13-3): It will be fate that we get a third UNC-Dook matchup this season. DeMarcus Nelson should lead the way in this one, and I don't think Clemson will come close. Dook won't be looking ahead to UNC.
Prediction: Dook 87-68
Big 10
#19 Michigan State (25-7, 12-6) vs. #6 Wisconsin (27-4, 16-2): Wisconsin is one of the most underrated powers in college basketball, and they are two more wins away from locking up a 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Michigan State got past the Buckeyes and looked strong doing it, as Drew Neitzel had one of his strongest performances of the season. I didn't like the way Wisconsin's offense looked against Michigan. I think it will be Raymar Morgan and Kalin Lucas leading the way for the Spartans to pull off yet another Big 10 Tournament upset.
Prediction: Michigan State 65-47
Illinois (15-18, 5-13) vs. Minnesota (20-12, 8-10): If Minnesota wins this, should they get into the bubble discussion? They really only have 2 solid wins on the season, Ohio State and then the thriller over Indiana yesterday. Illinois shocked Purdue in OT to move onto the semis. Bubble teams are rooting for the Spartans and Badgers very hard, as neither of these teams look like at-large bid candidates. Dan Coleman and Lawrence Westbrook will lead Minnesota to the Big 10 title game.
Prediction: Minnesota 67-53
Big XII
Oklahoma (22-10, 9-7) vs. #8 Texas (27-5, 13-3): Both favorites moved on to the semis, where the Longhorns look to get that Texas-Kansas matchup again. DJ Augustin and AJ Abrams are about as good of a pair as any in the country. I think they'll be too much for the Sooners, who are more about the interior game with Blake Griffin and Longar Longar. Look for Texas to get back to the Big XII Final once again.
Prediction: Texas 74-54
Texas A&M (24-9, 8-8) vs. #5 Kansas (29-3, 13-3): Texas A&M held on to beat Kansas State last night, locking them up an at-large bid. Now, they get a chance to improve seeding some by beating the Jayhawks and ruining their #1 seed hopes. This is my game of the day, I think it will end up going into OT. Josh Carter and DeAndre Jordan are going to step it up for the Aggies and help them keep it close. In the end, Kansas has too many weapons, and we will get that Kansas-Texas matchup we all want to see.
Prediction: Kansas 79-69 (OT)
SEC
I'm sticking with my prediction of Georgia upsetting Kentucky, so I'll just plug them into the semis.
Arkansas (21-10, 9-7) vs. #4 Tennessee (29-3, 14-2): Arkansas may be able to feel safe after yesterday's win over Vandy. With all the losses from bubble teams, their profile looks good enough to make the field. This will be right up there with Kansas-Texas A&M for game of the day. Darian Townes has had a great tournament and I think he will contribute with a double-double. JaJuan and Tyler Smith will be the keys for the Vols as they advance in a close one.
Prediction: Tennessee 80-77 (OT)
Georgia (15-16, 4-12) vs. Mississippi State (22-9, 12-4): Georgia will advance past Kentucky to face a talented Mississippi State team who won in OT last night. However, this is the second game in the day for Georgia, a team that is shorthanded as it is. It would take an a ton of heart for them to advance in this one. It will probably be a low scoring affair, and I think that plays better for Mississippi State. Jamont Gordon will shine, and Jarvis Varnardo will make some key plays in the defensive paint.
Prediction: Mississippi State 59-49
Friday, March 14, 2008
Friday's Picks Cont'd
Big 10
Michigan (10-21, 5-13) vs. #6 Wisconsin (26-4, 16-2): Michigan shouldn't give Wisconsin too much trouble, Trevon Hughes will have a solid game for the Badgers.
Prediction: Wisconsin 68-59
Ohio State (19-12, 10-8) vs. #19 Michigan State (24-7, 12-6): Ohio State will be pretty safe with a win in this one. They just beat the Spartans at home, and get them on a neutral court. Michigan State is a solid team, but Jamar Butler and the Buckeyes move on in a close one.
Prediction: Ohio State 68-66
Illinois (14-18, 5-13) vs. #16 Purdue (24-7, 15-3): Illinois will give the Boilermakers a good run in this quarterfinal matchup. I don't know that they have enough to sustain a lead the whole game. Robbie Hummell should light it up from outside.
Prediction: Purdue 73-72
Minnesota (19-12, 8-10) vs. #20 Indiana (25-6, 14-4): DJ White and Eric Gordon will lead the Hoosiers past Tubby's boys.
Prediction: Indiana 68-57
Big XII
Oklahoma State (17-14, 7-9) vs. #8 Texas (26-5, 13-3): Oklahoma State has really made a nice comeback down the stretch, but this league belongs to Texas and Kansas. The Cowboys should challenge Texas, but Abrams and Augustin will help the Longhorns.
Prediction: Texas 63-60
Colorado (12-19, 3-13) vs. Oklahoma (21-10, 9-7): Colorado upset Baylor to move on to the quarters, where they face an Oklahoma team who appears to be safe to make the field. Blake Griffin is a future lottery pick, and he'll shine in this one.
Prediction: Oklahoma 51-50
Nebraska (19-11, 7-9) vs. #5 Kansas (28-3, 13-3): Nebraska got absolutely blown out by the Jayhawks last time these teams met. The same should happen here, as the Huskers don't have much talent outside of Aleks Maric.
Prediction: Kansas 80-58
SEC
South Carolina (14-17, 5-11) vs. #4 Tennessee (28-3, 14-2): In what could be South Carolina coach Dave Odom's final game (he's going to retire after the season), the Gamecocks have a tough task. They probably can't contain JaJuan Smith and Chris Lofton from outside, and Wayne Chism will do work on the interior.
Prediction: Tennessee 79-53
#17 Vanderbilt (26-6, 10-6) vs. Arkansas (20-10, 9-7): I think Arkansas should get in if they can handle Vandy in this one. They have to be able to contain sharpshooter Shan Foster in order to pull off the win. Look for a big game from Darian Townes, and the Razorbacks will move on.
Prediction: Arkansas 74-66
Alabama (17-15, 5-11) vs. Mississippi State (21-9, 12-4): Alabama looked good in their upset over Florida, but Mississippi State is the second best team in the SEC. Jamont Gordon should get his points, and Jarvis Varnardo controls the defensive paint.
Prediction: Mississippi State 70-61
Georgia (14-16, 4-12) vs. Kentucky (18-11, 12-4): Kentucky won't be safe if they let the Bulldogs upset them in this matchup. I for one believe Georgia can win it, with some solid defense and good shooting from Sundiata Gaines and Terrance Woodbury. This will leave Kentucky right on the edge of the bubble.
Prediction: Georgia 67-51
Pac-10
USC (21-10, 11-7) vs. #2 UCLA (29-3, 16-2): I think this one will be the most exciting game of the day/night. OJ Mayo and Taj Gibson can do enough to take down the Bruins, but UCLA looked very strong in the win over Cal. Look for Kevin Love and Darren Collison to lead the charge, but this is one that could come down to the final possession.
Prediction: UCLA 79-77
#21 Washington State (24-7, 11-7) vs. #11 Stanford (25-6, 13-5): Another good matchup pits the 2nd and 3rd place finishers in the Pac-10. I think Taylor Rochestie and do everything guy Kyle Weaver will keep Wazzu in the game. Washington State will go after the Lopez twins and get them in foul trouble. I do believe that Lawrence Hill and Anthony Goods can step it up when this happens. We'll be seeing the top 2 teams in the Pac-10 in the final.
Prediction: Stanford 74-61
Atlantic-10
St. Joseph's (20-11, 9-7) vs. #12 Xavier (27-5, 14-2): With all these teams losing, Saint Joe's is the one team playing their way in. That could continue tonight against the top team in the conference. A win pretty much locks up an at-large bid for the Hawks. Look for Ahmad Nivins to play great again, and for exceptional coaching by Phil Martelli to push St. Joe's into the final.
Prediction: St. Joseph's 83-74
Charlotte (20-12, 9-7) vs. Temple (19-12, 11-5): Is it time to take a closer look at Temple? With UMass and Dayton losing, Temple has a chance to boost their stock by advancing to the finals. They finished second in the regular season and did beat Xavier. Leemire Goldwire is a star on Charlotte. He should help them stay in the game, and this should be one that comes down to the final seconds.
Prediction: Charlotte 58-56
Patriot League Championship
Colgate (18-13, 7-7) vs. American (20-11, 10-4): Colgate has found their way to the championship game, where the #1 seed awaits them. League stalwarts Bucknell and Holy Cross had rough seasons, so this game is something different. I'm feeling the upset, as Colgate gets it done with a team effort.
Prediction: Colgate 82-75
Michigan (10-21, 5-13) vs. #6 Wisconsin (26-4, 16-2): Michigan shouldn't give Wisconsin too much trouble, Trevon Hughes will have a solid game for the Badgers.
Prediction: Wisconsin 68-59
Ohio State (19-12, 10-8) vs. #19 Michigan State (24-7, 12-6): Ohio State will be pretty safe with a win in this one. They just beat the Spartans at home, and get them on a neutral court. Michigan State is a solid team, but Jamar Butler and the Buckeyes move on in a close one.
Prediction: Ohio State 68-66
Illinois (14-18, 5-13) vs. #16 Purdue (24-7, 15-3): Illinois will give the Boilermakers a good run in this quarterfinal matchup. I don't know that they have enough to sustain a lead the whole game. Robbie Hummell should light it up from outside.
Prediction: Purdue 73-72
Minnesota (19-12, 8-10) vs. #20 Indiana (25-6, 14-4): DJ White and Eric Gordon will lead the Hoosiers past Tubby's boys.
Prediction: Indiana 68-57
Big XII
Oklahoma State (17-14, 7-9) vs. #8 Texas (26-5, 13-3): Oklahoma State has really made a nice comeback down the stretch, but this league belongs to Texas and Kansas. The Cowboys should challenge Texas, but Abrams and Augustin will help the Longhorns.
Prediction: Texas 63-60
Colorado (12-19, 3-13) vs. Oklahoma (21-10, 9-7): Colorado upset Baylor to move on to the quarters, where they face an Oklahoma team who appears to be safe to make the field. Blake Griffin is a future lottery pick, and he'll shine in this one.
Prediction: Oklahoma 51-50
Nebraska (19-11, 7-9) vs. #5 Kansas (28-3, 13-3): Nebraska got absolutely blown out by the Jayhawks last time these teams met. The same should happen here, as the Huskers don't have much talent outside of Aleks Maric.
Prediction: Kansas 80-58
SEC
South Carolina (14-17, 5-11) vs. #4 Tennessee (28-3, 14-2): In what could be South Carolina coach Dave Odom's final game (he's going to retire after the season), the Gamecocks have a tough task. They probably can't contain JaJuan Smith and Chris Lofton from outside, and Wayne Chism will do work on the interior.
Prediction: Tennessee 79-53
#17 Vanderbilt (26-6, 10-6) vs. Arkansas (20-10, 9-7): I think Arkansas should get in if they can handle Vandy in this one. They have to be able to contain sharpshooter Shan Foster in order to pull off the win. Look for a big game from Darian Townes, and the Razorbacks will move on.
Prediction: Arkansas 74-66
Alabama (17-15, 5-11) vs. Mississippi State (21-9, 12-4): Alabama looked good in their upset over Florida, but Mississippi State is the second best team in the SEC. Jamont Gordon should get his points, and Jarvis Varnardo controls the defensive paint.
Prediction: Mississippi State 70-61
Georgia (14-16, 4-12) vs. Kentucky (18-11, 12-4): Kentucky won't be safe if they let the Bulldogs upset them in this matchup. I for one believe Georgia can win it, with some solid defense and good shooting from Sundiata Gaines and Terrance Woodbury. This will leave Kentucky right on the edge of the bubble.
Prediction: Georgia 67-51
Pac-10
USC (21-10, 11-7) vs. #2 UCLA (29-3, 16-2): I think this one will be the most exciting game of the day/night. OJ Mayo and Taj Gibson can do enough to take down the Bruins, but UCLA looked very strong in the win over Cal. Look for Kevin Love and Darren Collison to lead the charge, but this is one that could come down to the final possession.
Prediction: UCLA 79-77
#21 Washington State (24-7, 11-7) vs. #11 Stanford (25-6, 13-5): Another good matchup pits the 2nd and 3rd place finishers in the Pac-10. I think Taylor Rochestie and do everything guy Kyle Weaver will keep Wazzu in the game. Washington State will go after the Lopez twins and get them in foul trouble. I do believe that Lawrence Hill and Anthony Goods can step it up when this happens. We'll be seeing the top 2 teams in the Pac-10 in the final.
Prediction: Stanford 74-61
Atlantic-10
St. Joseph's (20-11, 9-7) vs. #12 Xavier (27-5, 14-2): With all these teams losing, Saint Joe's is the one team playing their way in. That could continue tonight against the top team in the conference. A win pretty much locks up an at-large bid for the Hawks. Look for Ahmad Nivins to play great again, and for exceptional coaching by Phil Martelli to push St. Joe's into the final.
Prediction: St. Joseph's 83-74
Charlotte (20-12, 9-7) vs. Temple (19-12, 11-5): Is it time to take a closer look at Temple? With UMass and Dayton losing, Temple has a chance to boost their stock by advancing to the finals. They finished second in the regular season and did beat Xavier. Leemire Goldwire is a star on Charlotte. He should help them stay in the game, and this should be one that comes down to the final seconds.
Prediction: Charlotte 58-56
Patriot League Championship
Colgate (18-13, 7-7) vs. American (20-11, 10-4): Colgate has found their way to the championship game, where the #1 seed awaits them. League stalwarts Bucknell and Holy Cross had rough seasons, so this game is something different. I'm feeling the upset, as Colgate gets it done with a team effort.
Prediction: Colgate 82-75
Thursday, March 13, 2008
A Look At Friday's Games
An exciting day Thursday, with some great games in the Big East Tournament and a double overtime thriller between Colorado and Baylor in the Big XII. Teams really stumbled some more onto the bubble, as Villanova, Baylor, Oregon, and Arizona State were a few of the teams that couldn't get it done. We won't have a threepeat, as Florida's lost to Alabama solidifies what looks to be a NIT postseason for the Gators. Friday should have some big games as well, hopefully helping us clear this bubble situation up at all.
ACC
Florida State (19-13, 7-9) vs. #1 North Carolina (29-2, 14-2): The Seminoles got past Wake Forest in the first round, and now gets a chance to pick up a huge win and put themselves in better NCAA position. UNC will be on a mission to earn the overall #1 seed. Look for Hansbrough and Ellington to come up with good games.
Prediction: North Carolina 86-61
Miami (22-9, 8-8) vs. Virginia Tech (18-12, 9-7): Miami can probably feel pretty safe after winning their first round game, but can get comfortable by advancing to the semis here. Virginia Tech needs at least this win, and perhaps the upset over the Tar Heels, to get in. A loss here and they won't even garner consideration for an at-large. The Hokies' two vets, AD Vassallo and Deron Washington, will show that sense of urgency in such a huge game.
Prediction: Virginia Tech 78-67
Georgia Tech (15-16, 7-9) vs. #7 Dook (26-4, 13-3): Dook shouldn't have too much trouble advancing against a Yellow Jackets team that doesn't have the personnel to match up with the Dookies. Ga. Tech did a fine job in handling Virginia, but DeMarcus Nelson and Co. will lead Dook into the semifinals.
Prediction: Dook 84-59
Boston College (14-16, 4-12) vs. Clemson (22-8, 10-6): A game with not too much meaning, just seeding purpose for Clemson. They're glad that they aren't in the same position as these other ACC bubblers. Could Boston College pull off another upset? I think they'll need a big game from Tyrese Rice. He's got the experience and skills to help Boston College pull it off.
Prediction: Boston College 76-70
Big East
West Virginia (24-9, 11-7) vs. #9 Georgetown (26-4, 15-3): West Virginia has moved into lock status after beating UConn behind the strong play of Joe Alexander. Georgetown avoided an upset with some hot shooting versus 'Nova. Jonathan Wallace and Austin Freeman should stay hot from the outside as the favorite moves on to the championship game.
Prediction: Georgetown 74-68
Pittsburgh (24-9, 10-8) vs. #24 Marquette (24-8, 11-7): Two teams that pulled off upsets square off and look to move on to the Big East Finals. The Golden Eagles got a big effort from Jerel McNeal in the victory over Notre Dame Thursday night. A team effort will be what pushes them on to the finals.
Prediction: Marquette 81-70
The rest of the conferences should be updated in the morning, and then around noon.
ACC
Florida State (19-13, 7-9) vs. #1 North Carolina (29-2, 14-2): The Seminoles got past Wake Forest in the first round, and now gets a chance to pick up a huge win and put themselves in better NCAA position. UNC will be on a mission to earn the overall #1 seed. Look for Hansbrough and Ellington to come up with good games.
Prediction: North Carolina 86-61
Miami (22-9, 8-8) vs. Virginia Tech (18-12, 9-7): Miami can probably feel pretty safe after winning their first round game, but can get comfortable by advancing to the semis here. Virginia Tech needs at least this win, and perhaps the upset over the Tar Heels, to get in. A loss here and they won't even garner consideration for an at-large. The Hokies' two vets, AD Vassallo and Deron Washington, will show that sense of urgency in such a huge game.
Prediction: Virginia Tech 78-67
Georgia Tech (15-16, 7-9) vs. #7 Dook (26-4, 13-3): Dook shouldn't have too much trouble advancing against a Yellow Jackets team that doesn't have the personnel to match up with the Dookies. Ga. Tech did a fine job in handling Virginia, but DeMarcus Nelson and Co. will lead Dook into the semifinals.
Prediction: Dook 84-59
Boston College (14-16, 4-12) vs. Clemson (22-8, 10-6): A game with not too much meaning, just seeding purpose for Clemson. They're glad that they aren't in the same position as these other ACC bubblers. Could Boston College pull off another upset? I think they'll need a big game from Tyrese Rice. He's got the experience and skills to help Boston College pull it off.
Prediction: Boston College 76-70
Big East
West Virginia (24-9, 11-7) vs. #9 Georgetown (26-4, 15-3): West Virginia has moved into lock status after beating UConn behind the strong play of Joe Alexander. Georgetown avoided an upset with some hot shooting versus 'Nova. Jonathan Wallace and Austin Freeman should stay hot from the outside as the favorite moves on to the championship game.
Prediction: Georgetown 74-68
Pittsburgh (24-9, 10-8) vs. #24 Marquette (24-8, 11-7): Two teams that pulled off upsets square off and look to move on to the Big East Finals. The Golden Eagles got a big effort from Jerel McNeal in the victory over Notre Dame Thursday night. A team effort will be what pushes them on to the finals.
Prediction: Marquette 81-70
The rest of the conferences should be updated in the morning, and then around noon.
Big 10, Pac-10, SEC
We will finish off the rest of Thursday's predictions with a look at 3 more major conferences, the Big 10, Pac-10, and SEC. There aren't really any important games in Big 10 play today, but the other 2 conferences can shake up the bubble with their games.
Big 10
Pac-10
Arizona State (19-11, 9-9) vs. USC (20-10, 11-7): An important game, especially for Herb Sendek's Sun Devils, who are probably squeezed out if they lose. A win might put them on the right side of the bubble. Look for Ty Abbott and James Harden to show that sense of urgency and pull out a huge win.
Prediction: Arizona State 68-52
California (16-14, 6-12) vs. #2 UCLA (28-3, 16-2): I'm expecting a close game here as Ryan Anderson is a stud, and UCLA has not had great success in the past couple Pac-10 tourneys. I think Kevin Love will come up huge for them down low, and look for a team effort from Darren Collison, Josh Shipp, and Russell Westbrook on the outside.
Prediction: UCLA 80-79
Oregon (18-12, 9-9) vs. #21 Washington State (23-7, 11-7): Knowing what Arizona State did earlier in the day could be of benefit to Oregon, because if Arizona State loses the Ducks may still get a bid with a loss here. To feel confident heading into Selection Sunday, Oregon will want a win here. Wazzu has just too much though, as I think Taylor Rochestie and Derrick Low are set for big games. I've penciled in Washington State as one of my dark horse Final Four suggestions.
Prediction: Washington State 83-65
Arizona (19-13, 8-10) vs. #11 Stanford (24-6, 13-5): Arizona blew away bottom feeder Oregon State last night, and looks safe to be dancing. They sure would love to take out a top team in the conference like Stanford though, who lost a few games down the stretch after being in contention for the Pac-10 title. Nic Wise is healthy, and he should team with Jerryd Bayless to help the 'Cats make some noise in this tourney.
Prediction: Arizona 75-66
SEC
South Carolina (13-17, 5-11) vs. LSU (13-17, 6-10): LSU hasn't been too bad down the stretch, and has some great talent in Anthony Randolph and Marcus Thornton. Don't be surprised if they pull an upset in a later round.
Prediction: LSU 65-51
Auburn (14-15, 4-12) vs. #17 Vanderbilt (25-6, 10-6): Vandy has struggled since taking out Tennessee, but Auburn is just horrible. Expect Shan Foster and Alex Gordon to dial it up from long range in a blowout.
Prediction: Vanderbilt 99-68
Alabama (16-15, 5-11) vs. Florida (21-10, 8-8): Florida needs to advance to the SEC Championship game if they want to make the field to defend their title. I like the shooters on Alabama, Mykal Riley and Alonzo Gee. I think 'Bama pulls off the huge upset.
Prediction: Alabama 86-77
Georgia (13-16, 4-12) vs. Mississippi (21-9, 7-9): Ole Miss is an intriguing team when you look at their schedule and stats. They were so good non-conference, has a Clemson-esque fall during the SEC season, and bounced back to finish with a 7-9 league mark. They may need 2 wins in this tourney to get on the right side of the bubble. Dwayne Curtis will help the Rebels blow past a bad Georgia team.
Prediction: Mississippi 84-68
Big 10
Michigan (9-21, 5-13) vs. Iowa (13-18, 6-12): Michigan should pull this one out, they are a well coached team despite not having the great talent.
Prediction: Michigan 76-61
Illinois (13-18, 5-13) vs. Penn State (15-15, 7-11): This should be a pretty good game. Illinois has had a disappointing season, and hope to at least pick up a win in this tourney. Trent Meacham is a very underrated shooter.
Prediction: Illinois 68-65
Northwestern (8-21, 1-17) vs. Minnesota (18-12, 8-10): Northwestern looks to pull an upset against Tubby Smith's Golden Golphers, who put together a decent season but didn't beat anyone. Spencer Tollackson and Dan Coleman will lead Minnesota to the next round.
Prediction: Minnesota 74-64
Pac-10
Arizona State (19-11, 9-9) vs. USC (20-10, 11-7): An important game, especially for Herb Sendek's Sun Devils, who are probably squeezed out if they lose. A win might put them on the right side of the bubble. Look for Ty Abbott and James Harden to show that sense of urgency and pull out a huge win.
Prediction: Arizona State 68-52
California (16-14, 6-12) vs. #2 UCLA (28-3, 16-2): I'm expecting a close game here as Ryan Anderson is a stud, and UCLA has not had great success in the past couple Pac-10 tourneys. I think Kevin Love will come up huge for them down low, and look for a team effort from Darren Collison, Josh Shipp, and Russell Westbrook on the outside.
Prediction: UCLA 80-79
Oregon (18-12, 9-9) vs. #21 Washington State (23-7, 11-7): Knowing what Arizona State did earlier in the day could be of benefit to Oregon, because if Arizona State loses the Ducks may still get a bid with a loss here. To feel confident heading into Selection Sunday, Oregon will want a win here. Wazzu has just too much though, as I think Taylor Rochestie and Derrick Low are set for big games. I've penciled in Washington State as one of my dark horse Final Four suggestions.
Prediction: Washington State 83-65
Arizona (19-13, 8-10) vs. #11 Stanford (24-6, 13-5): Arizona blew away bottom feeder Oregon State last night, and looks safe to be dancing. They sure would love to take out a top team in the conference like Stanford though, who lost a few games down the stretch after being in contention for the Pac-10 title. Nic Wise is healthy, and he should team with Jerryd Bayless to help the 'Cats make some noise in this tourney.
Prediction: Arizona 75-66
SEC
South Carolina (13-17, 5-11) vs. LSU (13-17, 6-10): LSU hasn't been too bad down the stretch, and has some great talent in Anthony Randolph and Marcus Thornton. Don't be surprised if they pull an upset in a later round.
Prediction: LSU 65-51
Auburn (14-15, 4-12) vs. #17 Vanderbilt (25-6, 10-6): Vandy has struggled since taking out Tennessee, but Auburn is just horrible. Expect Shan Foster and Alex Gordon to dial it up from long range in a blowout.
Prediction: Vanderbilt 99-68
Alabama (16-15, 5-11) vs. Florida (21-10, 8-8): Florida needs to advance to the SEC Championship game if they want to make the field to defend their title. I like the shooters on Alabama, Mykal Riley and Alonzo Gee. I think 'Bama pulls off the huge upset.
Prediction: Alabama 86-77
Georgia (13-16, 4-12) vs. Mississippi (21-9, 7-9): Ole Miss is an intriguing team when you look at their schedule and stats. They were so good non-conference, has a Clemson-esque fall during the SEC season, and bounced back to finish with a 7-9 league mark. They may need 2 wins in this tourney to get on the right side of the bubble. Dwayne Curtis will help the Rebels blow past a bad Georgia team.
Prediction: Mississippi 84-68
Thursday's Championship Week Predictions
My win/loss wasn't spectacular yesterday, but how about that St. Joe's/Fordham game? I hit the 80-62 final score right on the nose. Let's see if I can do that more often today.
Big East
Villanova (20-11, 9-9) vs. #9 Georgetown (25-4, 15-3): Villanova kept their NCAA hopes alive Wednesday with a big win over 'Cuse. A win here would probably be enough for the Wildcats, but it won't be easy against the regular season Big East champ. Expect a close game, but the Hoyas have too many weapons and too much defense.
Prediction: Georgetown 67-63
West Virginia (23-9, 11-7) vs. #15 Connecticut (24-7, 13-5): It looks good for West Virginia after yesterday's win over Providence. The team won 11 Big East games and didn't get upset in the first round of the Big East Tournament. However, they could feel completely safe with a win over Connecticut. The Mountaineers will be rooting for Georgetown as well, to avoid 'Nova jumping them. I don't think West Virginia will be able to have success on the inside, as Hasheem Thabeet is a force to be reckoned with. It will be more about Alex Ruoff and Darris Nichols knocking down shots from the perimeter. On the other side, Jeff Adrien should have a big game.
Prediction: Connecticut 73-64
Pittsburgh (23-9, 10-8) vs. #13 Louisville (24-7, 14-4): This one should be a real physical battle as Pittsburgh looks to pull off a big upset over the #2 seed in the tourney. Sam Young is playing his best basketball of the season, and I don't know if the Cardinals have a guy who can contain him. If they do, Keith Benjamin should benefit. Louisville will rely on Terrance Williams to deliver. This should be a neck-and-neck game to the finish, but I like the Panthers in the upset.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 62-60
#24 Marquette (23-8, 11-7) vs. #14 Notre Dame (24-6, 14-4): Marquette pulled away from Seton Hall to avoid a first round upset in last evening's nightcap. Now they have the opportunity to better their seed for the NCAA Tournament. Look for a big game from Dominic James for the Golden Eagles. On Notre Dame's side, they will try to look to Big East POY Luke Harangody. I think Marquette keeps him under 20 points, although I believe McAlarney will put up a bunch. In the end, Marquette has so many weapons and if they're making their shots, they could take the tourney.
Prediction: Marquette 81-71
ACC
Florida State (18-13, 7-9) vs. Wake Forest (17-12, 7-9): At one point a few weeks ago Wake was on the bubble after upsetting Dook, but they haven't been able to string together any more quality wins. Both teams would love the chance to face North Carolina in the next round. I think Jeff Teague is going to be the difference for the Demon Deacons.
Prediction: Wake Forest 63-58
North Carolina State (15-15, 4-12) vs. Miami (21-9, 8-8): A must-win for Miami. A loss and they are on the border of missing the NCAA's, a win and they should be in. N.C. State looks to recapture the magic they had in last season's ACC Tournament. Jack McClinton has been a great transfer for Miami, and he'll help them avoid the upset.
Prediction: Miami 68-66
Virginia (15-14, 5-11) vs. Georgia Tech (14-16, 7-9): The winner of this matchup will get a shot at upsetting Dook in the quarterfinals. This could be the final game of a great career for Sean Singletary. Virginia was a 4 seed in last year's NCAA Tournament, but losing all their key players (other then Singletary) has dropped the Cavs to the bottom of the ACC this season.
Prediction: Georgia Tech 81-77
Boston College (13-16, 4-12) vs. Maryland (18-13, 8-8): The finale is one of three wins the Terps need in this tournament in order to earn an at-large bid. They should be able to handle Boston College in this one, and they will move on to face Clemson with a win. Expect big games from Greivis Vasquez and Landon Milbourne.
Prediction: Maryland 77-75
Atlantic-10
Dayton (21-9, 8-8) vs. #12 Xavier (26-5, 14-2): The most intriguing game of any games in all the tourneys today in my opinion. Dayton is in the same boat as Villanova, beat the best team in your conference and you can feel safe. A loss, and it will be all about what other teams do. Xavier is looking to keep or improve their seeding by winning the tourney.
Prediction: Xavier 69-59
Saint Joseph's (19-11, 9-7) vs. Richmond (18-13, 9-7): St. Joe's easily handled Fordham yesterday and looks to beat Richmond today to keep their NCAA hopes alive. The Hawks handled Richmond by 18 in their only meeting earlier this season. Expect Ahmad Nivins to have the big game for St. Joe's.
Prediction: St. Joseph's 75-55
LaSalle (15-16, 8-8) vs. Temple (18-12, 11-5): Temple may need the auto-bid to get in the field of 65, despite finishing second in the conference and upsetting Xavier. Dionte Christmas should help Temple move into the semis.
Predictions: Temple 79-75
Charlotte (19-12, 9-7) vs. Massachusetts (21-9, 10-6): Charlotte helped end Rhode Island's collapse from being a NCAA Tournament candidate by taking them out in the first round. They look to do the same to the Minutemen, who should be in if they win this game. Add UMass's Gary Forbes to the best player you've never heard of list, he'll show how good he is in this game.
Prediction: Massachusetts 76-64
Big XII
Oklahoma State (16-14, 7-9) vs. Texas Tech (16-14, 7-9): Two teams with identical records face off in the opener of the tourney. Look for the Cowboys balanced attack to keep them in the game against Pat Knight's Red Raiders. I think Byron Eaton will step it up for OK State, and they'll move on.
Prediction: Oklahoma State 60-57
Colorado (11-19, 3-13) vs. Baylor (21-9, 9-7): Baylor needs this win to feel better about their NCAA chances. A loss here to the cellar dweller of the Big XII would be killer. Curtis Jerrills won't let it happen, and Baylor should move on to face Oklahoma.
Prediction: Baylor 64-50
Missouri (16-15, 6-10) vs. Nebraska (18-11, 7-9): Neither team has had a great season and this game could be a sloppy one. Nebraska has a talented center in Aleks Maric, and he'll be the best player on the floor. Mizzou's gone through a tough season that included dismissing their leading scorer from the team.
Prediction: Nebraska 64-63
Iowa State (14-17, 4-12) vs. Texas A&M (22-9, 8-8): The Aggies are right on the bubble and have to win this one, and possibly one more. A&M just doesn't have a top scorer to lead them like Acie Law did last season. I think they win this, but the next round could be trouble.
Prediction: Texas A&M 57-55
Big 10, SEC, and Pac-10 will all be posted around 10:30 am EST.
Big East
Villanova (20-11, 9-9) vs. #9 Georgetown (25-4, 15-3): Villanova kept their NCAA hopes alive Wednesday with a big win over 'Cuse. A win here would probably be enough for the Wildcats, but it won't be easy against the regular season Big East champ. Expect a close game, but the Hoyas have too many weapons and too much defense.
Prediction: Georgetown 67-63
West Virginia (23-9, 11-7) vs. #15 Connecticut (24-7, 13-5): It looks good for West Virginia after yesterday's win over Providence. The team won 11 Big East games and didn't get upset in the first round of the Big East Tournament. However, they could feel completely safe with a win over Connecticut. The Mountaineers will be rooting for Georgetown as well, to avoid 'Nova jumping them. I don't think West Virginia will be able to have success on the inside, as Hasheem Thabeet is a force to be reckoned with. It will be more about Alex Ruoff and Darris Nichols knocking down shots from the perimeter. On the other side, Jeff Adrien should have a big game.
Prediction: Connecticut 73-64
Pittsburgh (23-9, 10-8) vs. #13 Louisville (24-7, 14-4): This one should be a real physical battle as Pittsburgh looks to pull off a big upset over the #2 seed in the tourney. Sam Young is playing his best basketball of the season, and I don't know if the Cardinals have a guy who can contain him. If they do, Keith Benjamin should benefit. Louisville will rely on Terrance Williams to deliver. This should be a neck-and-neck game to the finish, but I like the Panthers in the upset.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 62-60
#24 Marquette (23-8, 11-7) vs. #14 Notre Dame (24-6, 14-4): Marquette pulled away from Seton Hall to avoid a first round upset in last evening's nightcap. Now they have the opportunity to better their seed for the NCAA Tournament. Look for a big game from Dominic James for the Golden Eagles. On Notre Dame's side, they will try to look to Big East POY Luke Harangody. I think Marquette keeps him under 20 points, although I believe McAlarney will put up a bunch. In the end, Marquette has so many weapons and if they're making their shots, they could take the tourney.
Prediction: Marquette 81-71
ACC
Florida State (18-13, 7-9) vs. Wake Forest (17-12, 7-9): At one point a few weeks ago Wake was on the bubble after upsetting Dook, but they haven't been able to string together any more quality wins. Both teams would love the chance to face North Carolina in the next round. I think Jeff Teague is going to be the difference for the Demon Deacons.
Prediction: Wake Forest 63-58
North Carolina State (15-15, 4-12) vs. Miami (21-9, 8-8): A must-win for Miami. A loss and they are on the border of missing the NCAA's, a win and they should be in. N.C. State looks to recapture the magic they had in last season's ACC Tournament. Jack McClinton has been a great transfer for Miami, and he'll help them avoid the upset.
Prediction: Miami 68-66
Virginia (15-14, 5-11) vs. Georgia Tech (14-16, 7-9): The winner of this matchup will get a shot at upsetting Dook in the quarterfinals. This could be the final game of a great career for Sean Singletary. Virginia was a 4 seed in last year's NCAA Tournament, but losing all their key players (other then Singletary) has dropped the Cavs to the bottom of the ACC this season.
Prediction: Georgia Tech 81-77
Boston College (13-16, 4-12) vs. Maryland (18-13, 8-8): The finale is one of three wins the Terps need in this tournament in order to earn an at-large bid. They should be able to handle Boston College in this one, and they will move on to face Clemson with a win. Expect big games from Greivis Vasquez and Landon Milbourne.
Prediction: Maryland 77-75
Atlantic-10
Dayton (21-9, 8-8) vs. #12 Xavier (26-5, 14-2): The most intriguing game of any games in all the tourneys today in my opinion. Dayton is in the same boat as Villanova, beat the best team in your conference and you can feel safe. A loss, and it will be all about what other teams do. Xavier is looking to keep or improve their seeding by winning the tourney.
Prediction: Xavier 69-59
Saint Joseph's (19-11, 9-7) vs. Richmond (18-13, 9-7): St. Joe's easily handled Fordham yesterday and looks to beat Richmond today to keep their NCAA hopes alive. The Hawks handled Richmond by 18 in their only meeting earlier this season. Expect Ahmad Nivins to have the big game for St. Joe's.
Prediction: St. Joseph's 75-55
LaSalle (15-16, 8-8) vs. Temple (18-12, 11-5): Temple may need the auto-bid to get in the field of 65, despite finishing second in the conference and upsetting Xavier. Dionte Christmas should help Temple move into the semis.
Predictions: Temple 79-75
Charlotte (19-12, 9-7) vs. Massachusetts (21-9, 10-6): Charlotte helped end Rhode Island's collapse from being a NCAA Tournament candidate by taking them out in the first round. They look to do the same to the Minutemen, who should be in if they win this game. Add UMass's Gary Forbes to the best player you've never heard of list, he'll show how good he is in this game.
Prediction: Massachusetts 76-64
Big XII
Oklahoma State (16-14, 7-9) vs. Texas Tech (16-14, 7-9): Two teams with identical records face off in the opener of the tourney. Look for the Cowboys balanced attack to keep them in the game against Pat Knight's Red Raiders. I think Byron Eaton will step it up for OK State, and they'll move on.
Prediction: Oklahoma State 60-57
Colorado (11-19, 3-13) vs. Baylor (21-9, 9-7): Baylor needs this win to feel better about their NCAA chances. A loss here to the cellar dweller of the Big XII would be killer. Curtis Jerrills won't let it happen, and Baylor should move on to face Oklahoma.
Prediction: Baylor 64-50
Missouri (16-15, 6-10) vs. Nebraska (18-11, 7-9): Neither team has had a great season and this game could be a sloppy one. Nebraska has a talented center in Aleks Maric, and he'll be the best player on the floor. Mizzou's gone through a tough season that included dismissing their leading scorer from the team.
Prediction: Nebraska 64-63
Iowa State (14-17, 4-12) vs. Texas A&M (22-9, 8-8): The Aggies are right on the bubble and have to win this one, and possibly one more. A&M just doesn't have a top scorer to lead them like Acie Law did last season. I think they win this, but the next round could be trouble.
Prediction: Texas A&M 57-55
Big 10, SEC, and Pac-10 will all be posted around 10:30 am EST.
Syracuse's Bubble Has Been Popped
The Syracuse Orange put together one heck of a disappointing effort against Villanova in the Big East Tournament first round yesterday afternoon. Up 28-19 with 1:17 left in the first half, the collapse began as 'Nova scored 8 points in that last span to close the 9 point gap to 1. The second half was all Villanova, as they went up by as much as 20 en route to a 82-63 win. The Orange are out, the Wildcats are right in the thick of things. They're in just one of many good games today, as the major conferences begin their conference tournaments.
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Wednesday Championship Week Predictions
I'll go back to giving predictions today starting with the Big East Tournament games a couple others.
Big East Tournament
Villanova (19-11, 9-9) vs. Syracuse (19-12, 9-9): Expect a hard fought battle, but the balanced attack from Jonny Flynn, Paul Harris, and Dante Greene will prove too much
Prediction: Syracuse 79-62
Providence (15-15, 6-12) vs. West Virginia (22-9, 11-7): West Virginia just needs to avoid a slip-up here and they're in the NCAA Tournament. Da'Sean Butler and Demitris Nichols will lead the Mountaineers perimeter attack.
Prediction: West Virginia 83-67
Cincinnatti (13-17, 8-10) vs. Pittsburgh (22-9, 10-8): A defensive battle here. Cincy has really fallen down the stretch after having a possibility of making a late run to the NCAAs. They just don't have enough to beat the Panthers.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 58-49
Seton Hall (17-14, 7-11) vs. #24 Marquette (22-8, 11-7): Brian Laing is a stud and I think this may turn out to be the most exciting game of the day. Jerel McNeal will shine for Marquette as well. This one comes down to the wire, but the favorite moves on here as well.
Prediction: Marquette 70-65
Atlantic 10
Saint Louis (16-14, 7-9) vs. Dayton (20-9, 8-8): Dayton is square on the bubble after some big non-conference wins followed by a subpar conference season. Chris Wright's back, and he'll help them pick up a win.
Prediction: Dayton 68-57
Fordham (12-16, 6-10) vs. Saint Joseph's (18-11, 9-7): St. Joe's is another A-10 team on the bubble that needs this win and probably more to get in. It's going to be about which A-10 team does the most in the tournament, and the conference will end up with 2 or 3 teams. The Hawks should have no trouble with one of the worst teams in the A-10.
Prediction: Saint Joseph's 80-62
Duquesne (17-12, 7-9) vs. LaSalle (14-16, 8-8): The one game that features 2 teams with 0% chance of an auto-bid. Duquesne's coach is very good and could move on to a bigger school following the season.
Prediction: Duquesne 83-65
Rhode Island (21-10, 7-9) vs. Charlotte (18-12, 8-8): Rhode Island could have a shot if they make a run to the A-10 finals and lose a close game. Look out for Will Daniels to shine here.
Prediction: Rhode Island 77-67
Pac-10
California (15-14, 6-12) vs. Washington (16-15, 7-11): Ryan Anderson could star if Cal can pick up a couple wins. He's perhaps the most unknown star in the Pac-10.
Prediction: California 67-65
Oregon State (6-24, 0-18) vs. Arizona (18-13, 8-10): A game Zona needs if they want to be in the NCAA Tournament. They just can't lose to a team who went 0-18 in the Pac-10 regular season.
Prediction: Arizona 63-52
Northeast Conference Final
Mount St. Mary's (17-14, 11-7) vs. Sacred Heart (18-13, 13-5): Sacred Heart gets the chance to earn their first ever NCAA Tournament bid. Brice Brooks is their key player, he'll be the focal point of their offense.
Prediction: Sacred Heart 74-62
Big Sky Final
Northern Arizona (21-10, 11-5) vs. Portland State (22-9, 14-2): Portland State brings a balanced attack led by Jeremiah Dominguez and Deonte Huff. They breezed through the Big Sky regular season, and won't have too much trouble in the title game.
Prediction: Portland State 69-56
Big East Tournament
Villanova (19-11, 9-9) vs. Syracuse (19-12, 9-9): Expect a hard fought battle, but the balanced attack from Jonny Flynn, Paul Harris, and Dante Greene will prove too much
Prediction: Syracuse 79-62
Providence (15-15, 6-12) vs. West Virginia (22-9, 11-7): West Virginia just needs to avoid a slip-up here and they're in the NCAA Tournament. Da'Sean Butler and Demitris Nichols will lead the Mountaineers perimeter attack.
Prediction: West Virginia 83-67
Cincinnatti (13-17, 8-10) vs. Pittsburgh (22-9, 10-8): A defensive battle here. Cincy has really fallen down the stretch after having a possibility of making a late run to the NCAAs. They just don't have enough to beat the Panthers.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 58-49
Seton Hall (17-14, 7-11) vs. #24 Marquette (22-8, 11-7): Brian Laing is a stud and I think this may turn out to be the most exciting game of the day. Jerel McNeal will shine for Marquette as well. This one comes down to the wire, but the favorite moves on here as well.
Prediction: Marquette 70-65
Atlantic 10
Saint Louis (16-14, 7-9) vs. Dayton (20-9, 8-8): Dayton is square on the bubble after some big non-conference wins followed by a subpar conference season. Chris Wright's back, and he'll help them pick up a win.
Prediction: Dayton 68-57
Fordham (12-16, 6-10) vs. Saint Joseph's (18-11, 9-7): St. Joe's is another A-10 team on the bubble that needs this win and probably more to get in. It's going to be about which A-10 team does the most in the tournament, and the conference will end up with 2 or 3 teams. The Hawks should have no trouble with one of the worst teams in the A-10.
Prediction: Saint Joseph's 80-62
Duquesne (17-12, 7-9) vs. LaSalle (14-16, 8-8): The one game that features 2 teams with 0% chance of an auto-bid. Duquesne's coach is very good and could move on to a bigger school following the season.
Prediction: Duquesne 83-65
Rhode Island (21-10, 7-9) vs. Charlotte (18-12, 8-8): Rhode Island could have a shot if they make a run to the A-10 finals and lose a close game. Look out for Will Daniels to shine here.
Prediction: Rhode Island 77-67
Pac-10
California (15-14, 6-12) vs. Washington (16-15, 7-11): Ryan Anderson could star if Cal can pick up a couple wins. He's perhaps the most unknown star in the Pac-10.
Prediction: California 67-65
Oregon State (6-24, 0-18) vs. Arizona (18-13, 8-10): A game Zona needs if they want to be in the NCAA Tournament. They just can't lose to a team who went 0-18 in the Pac-10 regular season.
Prediction: Arizona 63-52
Northeast Conference Final
Mount St. Mary's (17-14, 11-7) vs. Sacred Heart (18-13, 13-5): Sacred Heart gets the chance to earn their first ever NCAA Tournament bid. Brice Brooks is their key player, he'll be the focal point of their offense.
Prediction: Sacred Heart 74-62
Big Sky Final
Northern Arizona (21-10, 11-5) vs. Portland State (22-9, 14-2): Portland State brings a balanced attack led by Jeremiah Dominguez and Deonte Huff. They breezed through the Big Sky regular season, and won't have too much trouble in the title game.
Prediction: Portland State 69-56
Big East Tournament Brings Bubble Game of the Year
Does it get any better then these next few weeks? The pinnacle of all postseason playoffs, the NCAA Tournament, is in everyone's vision now. Championship Week brings the same kind of urgency and entertainment as well. The first of the BCS Conference Tournaments, the Big East Championship, starts today. The opening game of the tournament is perhaps the most important one of the week.
Starting off at noon today, Syracuse and Villanova square off in a must-win-or-NIT battle. Syracuse was written off a few weeks ago, but has picked up some huge wins against Georgetown and Marquette to put themselves back in the center of the bubble (like every year, it seems). Villanova hasn't wowed anybody, just cruising through a 9-9 Big East schedule. The winner of the game isn't guaranteed in, but the loser has almost no shot of making the field.
I like the Orange in this battle, they always seem to play their best basketball at the Garden.
Starting off at noon today, Syracuse and Villanova square off in a must-win-or-NIT battle. Syracuse was written off a few weeks ago, but has picked up some huge wins against Georgetown and Marquette to put themselves back in the center of the bubble (like every year, it seems). Villanova hasn't wowed anybody, just cruising through a 9-9 Big East schedule. The winner of the game isn't guaranteed in, but the loser has almost no shot of making the field.
I like the Orange in this battle, they always seem to play their best basketball at the Garden.
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
We Love Our Saints
Congratuations are in order for the Siena Saints, who blew past Rider 74-53 last night and secured an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament with the win. Siena is a local college who has shown off their plethura of talent this season. The scary thing is, they only have one senior. That senior, Tay Fisher, led Siena with 6 3-pointers on his 22nd birthday last night. This isn't the first time this season that Siena's shown it could be this year's Cinderella.
Early this season the Saints started gaining some exposure for a 79-67 upset of Stanford here at the TU Center in November. They used a team effort, led by all-out hustler Josh Duell's 16 points in that win.
Siena didn't have too much trouble during the MAAC regular season, finishing up in a tie for first with a 13-5 mark in the league, and earned the #1 seed through a tiebreaker. Siena was selected to participate in the BracketBusters weekend, and they traveled to Boise State for that one. Siena blew Boise out 94-78, with Alex Franklin shining behind 30 points and 18 boards.
Great guard play is always needed to succeed in late March. Siena's strength is their guards. Ronald Moore, Kenny Hasbrouck, Tay Fisher and Edwin Ubiles are four of the top five Saints. All of these guys are players who star on the perimeter. Alex Franklin and Josh Duell do work underneath as well. It's the guard rotation that could help Siena upset a team like Xavier in the first round.
Considering Siena is only losing Tay Fisher, who's to say that Siena won't be one of the top mid-majors next season? Bringing back their 5 starters and 4 of the top 5 scorers won't hurt them. Just imagine Jack McClinton didn't transfer to Miami (FL).
Way to go Siena and Davidson as well, for taking care of business. As for Gonzaga and South Alabama, Thad Matta and Jimmy Boeheim want your heads.
Early this season the Saints started gaining some exposure for a 79-67 upset of Stanford here at the TU Center in November. They used a team effort, led by all-out hustler Josh Duell's 16 points in that win.
Siena didn't have too much trouble during the MAAC regular season, finishing up in a tie for first with a 13-5 mark in the league, and earned the #1 seed through a tiebreaker. Siena was selected to participate in the BracketBusters weekend, and they traveled to Boise State for that one. Siena blew Boise out 94-78, with Alex Franklin shining behind 30 points and 18 boards.
Great guard play is always needed to succeed in late March. Siena's strength is their guards. Ronald Moore, Kenny Hasbrouck, Tay Fisher and Edwin Ubiles are four of the top five Saints. All of these guys are players who star on the perimeter. Alex Franklin and Josh Duell do work underneath as well. It's the guard rotation that could help Siena upset a team like Xavier in the first round.
Considering Siena is only losing Tay Fisher, who's to say that Siena won't be one of the top mid-majors next season? Bringing back their 5 starters and 4 of the top 5 scorers won't hurt them. Just imagine Jack McClinton didn't transfer to Miami (FL).
Way to go Siena and Davidson as well, for taking care of business. As for Gonzaga and South Alabama, Thad Matta and Jimmy Boeheim want your heads.
Sunday, March 9, 2008
Tar Heel Nation; Rejoice
Last nights North Carolina-Dook game was perhaps the most intense non-NCAA Tournament game I've ever watched. I was only watching it at home and I had the adrenaline flowing from start to finish.
How about Danny Green? The one Tar Heel I've written off plays the game of his life. Seven blocks! Could anyone have predicted Danny Green getting seven blocks? He also came up with a big slam over Greg Paulus in the first-half, and delivered a quote that I'm sure the Tar Heel Faithful chuckled at. "It felt good, man," Green said. "There's a lot of people in the country that don't like Greg Paulus. I'm pretty sure they were pretty happy watching that."
The defense was spectacular. Fifteen blocks, and the deemed weakness of the Tar Heels was what won the game over the final five minutes.
I saw the Dook comeback coming, just like everyone else in the Tar Heel Nation probably did. Kudos to the guys for staving it off and bringing the ACC Championship to where it rightfully belongs, Chapel Hill, NC.
In personal news, the application for the New Visions Journalism program will be mailed out tomorrow. I feel I have the essays perfected and have never felt so strongly about wanting something like I do with this program.
How about Danny Green? The one Tar Heel I've written off plays the game of his life. Seven blocks! Could anyone have predicted Danny Green getting seven blocks? He also came up with a big slam over Greg Paulus in the first-half, and delivered a quote that I'm sure the Tar Heel Faithful chuckled at. "It felt good, man," Green said. "There's a lot of people in the country that don't like Greg Paulus. I'm pretty sure they were pretty happy watching that."
The defense was spectacular. Fifteen blocks, and the deemed weakness of the Tar Heels was what won the game over the final five minutes.
I saw the Dook comeback coming, just like everyone else in the Tar Heel Nation probably did. Kudos to the guys for staving it off and bringing the ACC Championship to where it rightfully belongs, Chapel Hill, NC.
In personal news, the application for the New Visions Journalism program will be mailed out tomorrow. I feel I have the essays perfected and have never felt so strongly about wanting something like I do with this program.
Friday, March 7, 2008
Bubble Is Big As We Head To Championship Week
For many teams, this Championship Week is going to make or break their season. These teams have had a solid season, but just haven't put together a resume they can feel confident about. However, a couple wins in their conference tournament could stick to the selection committee's short term memory, and perhaps push them into the field of 65. For the next couple of days, I'm going to do my own little bubble watch and tell you what teams need to do to get in.
ACC (Atlantic Coast Conference)
Locked In: North Carolina, Dook, Clemson
Bubble Teams:
Miami (FL) (20-8, 8-7 ACC, 24 RPI, 29 SOS)
Quality Wins: Dook, Clemson, @Mississippi State
Bad Losses: Winthrop, @Boston College
Verdict: Strong computer numbers and some big wins have Miami one win away from being locked up. That win could come tomorrow at Florida State. The surprise team of the year in the ACC, Miami has picked up some very nice wins behind transfer PG Jack McClinton. I personally think they are a better team then Clemson, and have a better chance of doing damage in the Big Dance.
As of 3/7: Almost a lock
Virginia Tech (18-11, 9-6 ACC, 59 RPI, 55 SOS)
Top 3 Wins: @Maryland, Maryland, Florida St.
Bad Losses: @Penn State, @Old Dominion, @Richmond
Verdict: Virginia Tech finishes up its regular season with a tough game at home versus Clemson. A win there would put them 3rd in the ACC standings, above the Tigers. That should get them in, although picking up another win in the ACC tournament would only help. There isn't anything to work from in the non-conference schedule, so this game against Clemson is huge. A loss here and you're looking at a team that may need to pick up an upset in the ACC semis. However, if other teams continue to play themselves out of the field, Va. Tech could still get in due to a strong conference finish.
As of 3/7: In the field of 65
Maryland (18-12, 8-7 ACC, 65 RPI, 14 SOS)
Top 3 Wins: @North Carolina, Florida State, @Georgia Tech
Bad Losses: Boston College, Missouri, American
Verdict: Maryland has played themselves into a hole and now has a resume that screams NIT. They may need a run to the ACC Tournament finals in order to earn themselves an at-large bid. Outside of the North Carolina win, the Terps have nothing to build on. They have some pretty bad non-conference losses, including Ohio to go with the two above. If they lose the finale to Virginia, the Conference Championship auto-bid will probably become the necessity.
As of 3/7: A longshot to get in
Out to play some pool, I'll probably get another conference in tonight.
ACC (Atlantic Coast Conference)
Locked In: North Carolina, Dook, Clemson
Bubble Teams:
Miami (FL) (20-8, 8-7 ACC, 24 RPI, 29 SOS)
Quality Wins: Dook, Clemson, @Mississippi State
Bad Losses: Winthrop, @Boston College
Verdict: Strong computer numbers and some big wins have Miami one win away from being locked up. That win could come tomorrow at Florida State. The surprise team of the year in the ACC, Miami has picked up some very nice wins behind transfer PG Jack McClinton. I personally think they are a better team then Clemson, and have a better chance of doing damage in the Big Dance.
As of 3/7: Almost a lock
Virginia Tech (18-11, 9-6 ACC, 59 RPI, 55 SOS)
Top 3 Wins: @Maryland, Maryland, Florida St.
Bad Losses: @Penn State, @Old Dominion, @Richmond
Verdict: Virginia Tech finishes up its regular season with a tough game at home versus Clemson. A win there would put them 3rd in the ACC standings, above the Tigers. That should get them in, although picking up another win in the ACC tournament would only help. There isn't anything to work from in the non-conference schedule, so this game against Clemson is huge. A loss here and you're looking at a team that may need to pick up an upset in the ACC semis. However, if other teams continue to play themselves out of the field, Va. Tech could still get in due to a strong conference finish.
As of 3/7: In the field of 65
Maryland (18-12, 8-7 ACC, 65 RPI, 14 SOS)
Top 3 Wins: @North Carolina, Florida State, @Georgia Tech
Bad Losses: Boston College, Missouri, American
Verdict: Maryland has played themselves into a hole and now has a resume that screams NIT. They may need a run to the ACC Tournament finals in order to earn themselves an at-large bid. Outside of the North Carolina win, the Terps have nothing to build on. They have some pretty bad non-conference losses, including Ohio to go with the two above. If they lose the finale to Virginia, the Conference Championship auto-bid will probably become the necessity.
As of 3/7: A longshot to get in
Out to play some pool, I'll probably get another conference in tonight.
Thursday, March 6, 2008
A Player We Can All Appreciate
In today's world of sports, there are many superstars who are idolized by both children and adults across the country. These athletes are personified as immortal beings that are more revered then workers in any other profession. All types of people scrap for memorabilia from these stars, whether it is in person or something bought on eBay. By owning an autographed or game used piece of memorabilia, one feels a certain connection to that player, despite having never met or spoken to the athlete. Most of these stars, and even the average players, don't answer fan mail, and don't communicate with fans on a daily basis. However, there are few exceptions from players with very special character engrained in their personas. One of these extraordinary individuals happens to be touted as one of the next great pitchers in Major League Baseball. He finds the time to communicate with his fans, and to give back whenever he can. While doing this, his stardom continues to grow. This man is Philip Hughes, 21 year old pitcher for the New York Yankees.
Phil Hughes is perhaps the greatest exception to the adage that star athletes do not care about their fans. Hughes isn't quite a superstar yet, but he has attained those expecations after a superb rookie season in 2007. Yet Hughes shows his care for his fans more then any other player in sports. Until it recently closed down, Phil had an official website, http://www.philiphughes.net. Not only was he a part of the creation of the site, he posted on the site's message boards, and gave away memorabilia. He gave away autographed baseballs, cleats, hats and more to fans who won the contests that he or another administrator ran. Phil Hughes chatted with his fans and had a section for fans to ask him questions. How many players do you see taking questions from fans? You can count them on one hand. The site closed down a short period ago, but that did not mean Phil stopped communicating with the Yankee faithful.
After his official website closed down, Phil took on a new project. Phil Hughes soon created his own blog, The Phil Hughes Weblog (http://philhughes.wordpress.com/). It chronicles his life in baseball from the player's perspective, and it also delves into his personal life. Fans can learn what type of music Phil listens to, what he does with his free time and how exciting it is to be a young man with so much excitement surrounding him. Not only that, Phil has transferred the contest idea onto his blog. He gave away a baseball autographed by the 2007 New York Yankees baseball team, excluding a few players. Other players have joined in with this project, including fellow young pitchers Ian Kennedy and Joba Chamberlain who have donated autographed memorabilia for future contests. As personal has Hughes gets with his blog, it is not even the most incredible thing he has done to give back to his fans.
There is one more thing that makes Philip Hughes unlike any other star athlete you can find. Hughes communicates with a select group (including myself) through AOL Instant Messaging. Now tell me how many athletes with the popularity that Philip Hughes has garnered are willing to talk to their fans directly online. Talking to Phil for the first time was unreal. I could not believe that a player would care about the fans as much as he does. The first time I talked to him I thanked him and let him know how remarkable it is that a player with his stature would converse with the average Joe. It is living proof that perhaps famous athletes are stereotyped; and they care about the fans more then anyone thought to be true.
Now just because Philip Hughes takes the time to share with his fans does not mean that all players would do the same. It takes a man with exception character ot continue his blog and conversations through instant messaging after becoming a star. Phil has displayed that character by updating his blog frequently and by his enthusiasm to interact with his fans . His public image is on top of the world for these methods of staying in contact with the New York Yankees fan base. His love for the game and the fans who share that love with him have enabled his fan base and popularity to spike. After learning about all the things that Hughes does to give back, he soon became one of my favorite players for his willingness to let fans in. This kindness towards fans is uncanny and has distinguished Hughes as one of the good guys in sports. Here's to you Philip Hughes, a man with not only extraordinary talent but an extraordinary heart.
Wednesday, March 5, 2008
To be updated tomorrow
Sorry that the blog hasn't been updated in almost 3 weeks, I've been very busy with schoolwork. I've been working on an application for this "New Visions" program, which could allow me to intern at the local newspaper for my senior year. I had to submit a free writing piece of work as one of the parts to the application, and that writing sample will be the blog entry that reopens my blog tomorrow.
Stay tuned, this train's rollin' again.
Stay tuned, this train's rollin' again.
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